Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Phil tues 1/5 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=6501)

mikesal57 01-05-2010 01:18 PM

Phil tues 1/5
 
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Strange race...RDSS has the 11 as speed...with a 23.2 quarter..hmmm

betting top 4 and speed 2

boxing 2-4-8

mikesal57 01-05-2010 01:31 PM

u have to laugh at this ..

I took the 2 as speed ...with both tied at ep , you think that the turn time will separate the 2 from the 8..

the 8 wins at 9-1

8-6-9

mikesal57 01-05-2010 01:39 PM

race 2 maidens..only value horse #10

raceman5 01-05-2010 01:46 PM

Hi Mike,

I'll try a 12-3

mikesal57 01-05-2010 01:48 PM

Hi Bob...good luck..i'll make a sandwich this race

raceman5 01-05-2010 01:55 PM

Good idea think i will to

mikesal57 01-05-2010 02:15 PM

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my contenders..

look at bottom ...#8 has big early advantage...rest are not speed balls

can he hold on?

#8 and 12 to win '

box 8-10-12

raceman5 01-05-2010 02:19 PM

Guess someone should of told him, what a pig

mikesal57 01-05-2010 02:23 PM

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2-5-1

didnt cap the 2 cause last 5 races were routes...

but last sprint race would have won this...:confused:

this get worse every day

mikesal57 01-05-2010 02:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by raceman5 (Post 63567)
Guess someone should of told him, what a pig

thxs for making me laugh

mikesal57 01-05-2010 02:38 PM

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boxing 5-6-11

mikesal57 01-05-2010 02:46 PM

a poly track no-show

barb craven 01-05-2010 03:04 PM

pha r4
 
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Not betting Mike just looking, but as promised, after the fact, my take. Hid the 6 because of low odds, and didn't like the 11 for a win.
Went with 8 and 1 to win and 1,8,11 exacta box



Barb

mikesal57 01-05-2010 03:05 PM

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race 5...the 9 and 12 need open lts to win...speed dual.

betting 4 & 8

mikesal57 01-05-2010 03:06 PM

nice barb...lets make some money...

mikesal57 01-05-2010 03:10 PM

of course the 9 holds on to beat the 4 closing hard..

barb craven 01-05-2010 03:17 PM

Too bad. didn't do 5th. was too busy showing you the 4th.
good luck with 6th.

mikesal57 01-05-2010 03:17 PM

1 Attachment(s)
race 6

first 3 looks good

raceman5 01-05-2010 03:32 PM

guess the wagercappers would be betting 7-3-6 this race at philly?

raceman5 01-05-2010 03:34 PM

7 wins at 4-1 nice

mikesal57 01-05-2010 03:46 PM

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race 7

barb craven 01-05-2010 04:07 PM

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pha r7


Stuff happens around here. Can't get to do every race.
Attachment 18780

mikesal57 01-05-2010 04:13 PM

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race 8

raceman5 01-05-2010 04:29 PM

Barb, why did u use line 5 on the 2?

raceman5 01-05-2010 04:29 PM

Mike can i see the pp's on #2 in the 7th

Bob

BJennet 01-05-2010 04:35 PM

Paceline selection?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by barb craven (Post 63582)
pha r7


Stuff happens around here. Can't get to do every race.
Attachment 18780

Hi Barb,

Nice hit here on the #2, but I'm kind of curious about the paceline selection. Does it not make more sense to have used the last line, rather than one from nearly six months ago as indicative of current form, especially in a cheap race?

Cheers,

B Jennet

barb craven 01-05-2010 04:43 PM

I used that line on the #2 because it was the 3rd sprint back on PHA (best of last 3 comparable. I'll take track and distance if possible, but if not, one or the other)and the highest total energy and best perceptor .

Barb

mikesal57 01-05-2010 04:46 PM

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race 9

barb craven 01-05-2010 04:46 PM

It also had a workout at pha 12 days ago, not a particularly good one, but ... I have good luck with cheap races.

also, I haven't done philly before and am just looking around this afternoon.

mikesal57 01-05-2010 04:49 PM

hope the 1 and 7 fight for lead cause they have no closing punch...betting the 2-4-6

mikesal57 01-05-2010 04:51 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by raceman5 (Post 63585)
Mike can i see the pp's on #2 in the 7th

Bob

here u go Bob

mikesal57 01-05-2010 04:53 PM

damn...that 7 held on and split me ..

raceman5 01-05-2010 04:56 PM

Thanks Mike, the best of last 3 would of been lines 1-2-4 no reason to choose line 5. you had the right line partner.

Bob

SilentRun 01-05-2010 05:04 PM

Pha R8
 
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Just came home to catch the 8th.
I remember Sartin's commenting on the power of 3. The 3rd Bl/Bl
could be a good value bet.

Ernie

mikesal57 01-05-2010 05:05 PM

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OK ..lets wallop the last race..

Now we have a stone closer Woodbine Horse on top( sorry barb:) )

WO horses aren't doing much here..so far...

let bet the speed horses 5 & 7

box 4-5-7

BJennet 01-05-2010 05:14 PM

Why I don't play these
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by barb craven (Post 63587)
I used that line on the #2 because it was the 3rd sprint back on PHA (best of last 3 comparable. I'll take track and distance if possible, but if not, one or the other)and the highest total energy and best perceptor .

Barb

Hi Barb,

Sorry I repeated Bob's question. We must have posted at the same time. But the strangeness of the paceline is somewhat salient. Obviously the crowd was onto this - maybe as a possible 3rd race back of a horse with some back class. Not to belabor a point, but I've always thought the rule was best of last three at comparable distance and surface, which would make the last paceline the choice, although clearly it's up to everyone's discretion.

Cheers,

B Jennet

mikesal57 01-05-2010 05:22 PM

did I say lets wallop or get walloped ?

the hell with it..I'm putting on my winter coat and grill up some rib eyes..

later guys

mike

barb craven 01-05-2010 05:33 PM

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Old WO horse is getting there Mike,:). Slow but sure. By the time WO re-opens, they'll be ready.

barb craven 01-05-2010 05:35 PM

Still not too good at this, didn't mean to add race 9 again.

barb craven 01-05-2010 05:36 PM

:o sorry!


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