Indiana - Tuesday
 

This is tonight's 9th race going 8f on the dirt. Looks like several E runners here including some sprinters stretching out.

Is there a dominant E?
Is there a fast E who can also run OTE?
Are the OTE types fast enough to win?

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match
 

Projected pace 23.9 47.5 111.8

Of the sprinters I see Horse 1 as the best

of the routers I will go with 4 6 and 8

My win bets are 4 and 8

GS
Bill

Hi..

with the 4-7-8 shooting for the lead..maybe the 2 can sit like he did on line 2 and get them....

gl
mike

Good afternoon...I looked at this race in two groups, routers and sprinters. Of the routers, #2 fought versus FPLR and also shows a win from 4th position on line 4.

Of the sprinters, #1 and #5 show a nice last race versus a fast 6 furlong time of 110.3. I prefer #1 because it won the race from 5th position, which could be a real benefit style-wise tonight. #5 faded to lose by a nose and the only other win showing in the pp's was wtw. I can't see this one leading all the way with so many other E's in the race.

#1 does not show much of an advantage at the 6 furlong call over #2. In addition, #2 fought and went on with the last race at a little longer distance than tonights and shows can win OTE (which it will probably need to tonight). I give the edge to #2.

Good luck everyone and thanks Richie for putting up the race!

ind
 

I'll take the 9 w-p-s. The only thing that bothers me about the 2 is that his last line is an aberant pace line.

Bob

Last time the 7 and 4 hooked up the 7 sat just off him and ran him down late (in a race with very little overall movement). Cutting back a furlong today, the 7 figures to have his 'speed' dulled a bit and sit just behind the pacesetters (assuming his jock doesn't rush him to contend early) and get the perfect trip. Nothing figures to run from too far back here as the closers aren't much.

#7 win @ >= 5:1

The result is a complete "Wow" with the 3 winning OTE at 30/1 :eek:
Basically the 1st horse I threw out of the race :(

Thank you so much EVERYONE for jumping in and I'll find another to put up!

A perfect example of why IND is just about the WACKIEST track out there. The 7 moves premature to take the lead before they hit the turn; appears ready to draw off on the turn; completely loses action when he enters the stretch a bit wide; then can't run with the winner and gets passed by the 2 for 2nd. Of all the tracks I play I've never seen horses lose action as often/badly as they do at IND.

Rich: Obviously my comments are all in retrospect but not a complete wow from a non matching perspective. Just getting to look at this today on my lunch break.

The horse was the top APV by almost double the 2nd ranked APV.

The first time they dropped in him to this level, he ran a creditable sprint until the 2nd call. In his next race, he broke next to last and didn't run. They then gave him a turf sprint tightener and a turf route tightener, the last at a much higher level if I'm reading the pp's correctly. He showed good early positioning in both to the 2nd call.

Today back to CL5 on the dirt, stretch him out to a mile (I assume it's not one turn?), take him off the pace (the way he won his only win showing), and ring the bell at more than double his 12-1 ML.

If only it were that easy but the key is the top APV by far and the recent excellent form to the 2nd call, esp. at the higher class, and the fact that he wasn't a proven loser at CL5.

I'm always amazed at the whoppers the top cluster of APV's in AOdds points out at times in a race, as long as there is some recent form and the horse isn't a proven loser already at today's class.

As you know, matching will get bombs that this thought process won't. That's racing.

Lou:
Thanks so much for the feedback man :)
Looking at class moves/track and surface switches are definite indicators of potential big runs from bombers and as you point out (after the fact is FINE btw) this guy had a few things going for him.

I just saw the huge edge on APV on the screen plus IMO THIS race begged for an OTE win.

Hope you and your son are doing great Lou and thanks for the feedback :D

Here is the winning 30/1 shots pps again

Thanks for the thought, Rich. Got back from his graduation about 10 days ago. He graduated with straight A's, hit over .300 his last year as a high school baseball player, and is off to Ohio University in the fall to study in their Sports Management/Business program.

We're proud of him. Athens, OH will be a huge change from San Diego but he's looking forward to it.