Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Woodbine 8/25 Matchup (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=7079)

Capcondo 08-24-2010 12:47 PM

Woodbine 8/25 Matchup
 
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There's been quite a bit written about the matchup here but it's been a while since we worked a live race together. We're going north of the border (which is a place Ted is no doubt happy to be after all his travels). This is my first posting of a race so feel free to give me screenshot pointers.

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Capcondo 08-24-2010 12:50 PM

Woodbine 8/25 nightcap continued
 
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Nine runners. I'll post any scratches as soon as I know.

Tim

Capcondo 08-24-2010 12:57 PM

It would be nice if everyone knew the race is at 6F
 
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cdax 08-24-2010 05:47 PM

at a quick glance I'm going with the 3 to win. Odds may too short for a bet tho.

Capcondo 08-25-2010 04:48 PM

Woodbine nightcap
 
This is somewhat of a paceless race so I am going to look for the horses that have run against fast paces. The 9 is the FPLR horse. The only horses that look to run near the front are the 3,7,8 and 9. I don't think the race will be run sustained.

The projected pace of 22.4 45.6 57.8 1;10.6 (tenths) (9's fractions).

The 8 looks to slow.
The 3 and 7 should be close to the lead giving the 9 the opportunity to run the way he wants to (off the lead). If the 9 gets the lead, he has shown he can wire the field.

That's my take,

Tim

mikesal57 08-25-2010 07:22 PM

Hi Guys..

The 3 ,8,9 will go at each other and niether have will to win when challenged

1,4,5,7 nothing and slow

left with 2 & 6

good luck

mike

Eddybugsy 08-25-2010 08:25 PM

I agree with Mikesal57 assessment.
I have 2 to win
Ex 2, 6

Charlie D 08-25-2010 08:31 PM

OTE

#2 and #9

Slight preference for #9 for win as it should be a potition or two ahead of #2

PeteC 08-25-2010 09:09 PM

Looks like a very competitive race with a few closely matched OTE runners in my view. My final group was the 3,6,7 and 9. My choice to win the race is the #6.

Good luck everybody...

Eddybugsy 08-25-2010 11:28 PM

Well I guess the 3 9 & 8 just wanted to hang out together

mikesal57 08-25-2010 11:32 PM

man ..did i blow!!!

Capcondo 08-26-2010 01:28 AM

Chart
 
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"At a quick glance" was the way to go. Nice hit cdax. 3 caught the 9 late in the lane. Exacta with 2nd fav over fav paid $50+. Here's the chart:

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