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-   -   noddub62 august contest (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8563)

noddub62 08-02-2012 02:10 PM

noddub62 august contest
 
Looking forward to August

noddub62 08-02-2012 02:29 PM

How I play.
 
Default settings, Val4. Best of last 3 comprable but I am sometimes loose on this. Adjusted SR and perceptor & no beaten lengths over 7 1/2. I love cheap races and hate last time winners unless they have a big win and/or good works. I eliminate to my top 5 keeping the top TE and Priminary LS score. If they don't line up I'll eliminate to get 5 by BLBL.

When selecting races for the contest I try to find full fields (min. 8) and ML odds with only 1 maybe at 5:2 and perfer 6F and no 2YO, maidens and NW1.

I bet off of the ML for contests as we can't wager on line here in the Texas although it has not been a problem for me. I wagercap the top 3 or 4 contenders using the high & low odds, hidding if less than 2:1.

From Bill and Ted's spreadsheet it was apparent that I don't need to bet place since for me it's a losing deal. I plan to bet win only but in all of the above statements I reserve the right to change my mind.:D

Thanks for the spreadsheets Bill & Ted.

Budman

noddub62 08-02-2012 03:39 PM

August 2
 
2 Attachment(s)
Pen race 5 $50 win on #8 & #6

Attachment 28808

Attachment 28809

noddub62 08-02-2012 03:43 PM

August 2
 
2 Attachment(s)
$50 win on #9 & #7
Attachment 28811

Attachment 28812

Bill V. 08-02-2012 04:51 PM

thanks
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by noddub62 (Post 82434)
Default settings, Val4. Best of last 3 comprable but I am sometimes loose on this. Adjusted SR and perceptor & no beaten lengths over 7 1/2. I love cheap races and hate last time winners unless they have a big win and/or good works. I eliminate to my top 5 keeping the top TE and Priminary LS score. If they don't line up I'll eliminate to get 5 by BLBL.

When selecting races for the contest I try to find full fields (min. 8) and ML odds with only 1 maybe at 5:2 and perfer 6F and no 2YO, maidens and NW1.

I bet off of the ML for contests as we can't wager on line here in the Texas although it has not been a problem for me. I wagercap the top 3 or 4 contenders using the high & low odds, hidding if less than 2:1.

From Bill and Ted's spreadsheet it was apparent that I don't need to bet place since for me it's a losing deal. I plan to bet win only but in all of the above statements I reserve the right to change my mind.:D

Thanks for the spreadsheets Bill & Ted.

Budman

Thank You Bud
After reading your outline I can see why you have been in the top 3 both in June and July. I also wish to give you a shout for your great work in the 2nd
20 race cycle, within the july contest
You were a big part in me pushing for seperate 20 race cycles as opposed to
the running 20 race method we used in July.
You are a good person for us to follow
Bill

noddub62 08-02-2012 05:02 PM

Thanks Bill,

But you deserve the credit, not me as I am just following your example. I really was sloppy the first 2o races in July and decided that I had to do better or just quit. I was terrible! I focused more on the last 20 and was much improved and I'm looking forward to improvement in August. Also all of my selections were ML odds. I thought that would be a disadvantage but it really wasn't. I'll be watching your explainations and learning more from you.

Thanks for being a good teacher. Doc would be very proud of you.

Bud

Diane M 08-02-2012 09:53 PM

I just want to thank all of you for sharing your knowledge. It is greatly appreciated...

noddub62 08-02-2012 09:54 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Attachment 28851

noddub62 08-03-2012 04:56 PM

August 3 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
PEN Race 7 $60 w on 3, $40W on 5
Attachment 28881

Attachment 28882

noddub62 08-03-2012 09:24 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Tier 3 got me

Attachment 28922

noddub62 08-04-2012 02:15 PM

August 4 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
Dmr r 2 $50 w on 7,2
Attachment 28944

Attachment 28945

noddub62 08-04-2012 02:27 PM

August 4 cycle
 
2 Attachment(s)
Dmr $50 w 2,9

Attachment 28950

Attachment 28952

noddub62 08-04-2012 02:32 PM

August 4 cycle
 
2 Attachment(s)
Dmr r8 $50 w 7,6

Attachment 28953

Attachment 28954

noddub62 08-04-2012 06:36 PM

August 4 cycle 1
 
1 Attachment(s)
Attachment 28966

noddub62 08-05-2012 08:08 AM

August 4 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
Losse these two by a hd & a nk. WOULD HAVE BEEN GOOD PLACE BETS BUT I'M NOT DOING THAT FOR THIS CONTEST.

Attachment 28967

Attachment 28968

noddub62 08-06-2012 12:53 PM

August 6 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
Pen race 2 hide #3, $60 w on #8, $40 w on #4


Attachment 29026

Attachment 29027

noddub62 08-06-2012 12:57 PM

August 6 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
Pen r 5 $60 w 0n #1, $40w 0n # 2
Attachment 29028

Attachment 29029

noddub62 08-06-2012 10:58 PM

2 Attachment(s)
Attachment 29038

Attachment 29039

noddub62 08-08-2012 02:34 PM

August 8 cycle 1
 
3 Attachment(s)
pen race # 8 $50 win, #6 & 7



Attachment 29126

Attachment 29127

Attachment 29128

noddub62 08-09-2012 08:14 AM

1 Attachment(s)
A loss but look at the winner's (#5) mutuel! I really hate it that my #7 scratched as I liked his F2 & DCL reds.

Attachment 29188

noddub62 08-11-2012 05:01 PM

August 11 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
pen race 6 $60W on 4, $40 on 2
Attachment 29289

Attachment 29290

noddub62 08-11-2012 05:04 PM

August 11 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
pen race 7 $50 win 4,3
Attachment 29291

Attachment 29292

noddub62 08-11-2012 05:09 PM

August 11 cycle 1
 
3 Attachment(s)
CT race 5 $60 W on 4, $40 W on 2
I liked the way they looked on the increment screen and 9 was rated on a 6.5 furlong race and will be less than 2:1 at post time.
Attachment 29293

Attachment 29294

Attachment 29295

noddub62 08-11-2012 05:12 PM

August 11 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
CT race 7 $40 W on 5, $60 W on 3 just wager cap top 3 H & L on BLBL.
Attachment 29296

Attachment 29297

noddub62 08-12-2012 07:50 AM

8/11/12 results
 
1 Attachment(s)
curse of the hidden favorite

Attachment 29320

noddub62 08-12-2012 07:55 AM

8/11/12 results
 
1 Attachment(s)
Why did I bet this race? Whish I'd Known the 4 scratched.
Attachment 29321

noddub62 08-12-2012 07:59 AM

8/11/12 results
 
1 Attachment(s)
This really fooled me.
Attachment 29322

noddub62 08-12-2012 08:02 AM

8/11/12 results
 
1 Attachment(s)
finally a win!!

Attachment 29323

noddub62 08-12-2012 06:27 PM

August 12 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
DMR R5 $60 W on 1, $40 W on 12
Attachment 29347

Attachment 29348

noddub62 08-12-2012 06:30 PM

August 12 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
DMR Race 9 $40 W on 2, $60 W on 5

Attachment 29349

Attachment 29350

noddub62 08-17-2012 09:04 PM

August 17 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
Evd r 8 $50 w 4,8

Attachment 29546

Attachment 29547

noddub62 08-18-2012 05:29 PM

August 18 cycle 1
 
dmr r 2
6 w on 5, 40 w on 7 hope i'm not to late

noddub62 08-18-2012 05:50 PM

intended 60 w instead of 6

noddub62 08-18-2012 05:55 PM

August 17 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
Attachment 29570

Attachment 29571

noddub62 08-18-2012 05:59 PM

August 18 cycle 1
 
1 Attachment(s)
how do you get this winner?
Attachment 29573

noddub62 08-18-2012 06:03 PM

August 18 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
Dmr r 8 $80w on 2, $20w on 5
Attachment 29575

Attachment 29576

noddub62 08-18-2012 06:06 PM

August 18 cycle 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
Dmr r 10 $50w on 9 & 13
Attachment 29577

Attachment 29578

noddub62 08-18-2012 07:05 PM

August 18 cycle 1
 
this will finish my 1st Aug 20 R cycle, betting win only.

DMR Race 5 $40 W on 10, $60 W on 6


screen shots later

noddub62 08-18-2012 09:39 PM

August 18 cycle 1
 
1 Attachment(s)
Attachment 29596

noddub62 08-18-2012 10:28 PM

4 Attachment(s)
Attachment 29601

Attachment 29602

Attachment 29603

Attachment 29604


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