Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   PiD night hawk (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11840)

Bill V. 09-18-2018 06:07 PM

PiD night hawk
 
1 Attachment(s)
A little PID action
Race 3 my picks

:4::5::6::7:




Attachment 47169

Bill V. 09-18-2018 06:30 PM

Horses
 
1 Attachment(s)
The top TPR horse # 2 wins a big price

I caught some money back on my W/P bet on the 5
I miss figured on the top 2 because of the low LPRs, I am not that familiar
with PID and the all-weather track

Tote delay

Attachment 47170

Bill V. 09-18-2018 06:44 PM

Lad
 
1 Attachment(s)
Lad race 6

A trick 7.5 furlong turf race

My Picks

:3::11::1::10:

Attachment 47171

Bill V. 09-18-2018 07:02 PM

Big Class
 
1 Attachment(s)
Big Class

$105 winner

Open that turf window! APV CR

Attachment 47172

Jeebs 09-19-2018 09:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 117536)
Big Class

$105 winner

Open that turf window! APV CR

Attachment 47172

If you had opened "the window" how would have that horse fared in your readouts?

Lt1 09-19-2018 11:55 AM

I wouldn't go back on this horse. Although I normally have no problem going back past the top 3 lines in this case it appears that line 2 is the better of those 2 turf lines ie better adj sr and higher perceptor rank. Additionally the horse has shown nothing since its return to racing and line 2 is a form failure since the horse failed to do what it did in line 6 or what it is being asked to do today. Chalk it up to a horse you wouldn't get and move on. There will always be races where you won't get the winner no matter what you do.
Tim

Bill V. 09-20-2018 10:32 AM

Lines
 
Hello Jeebs (Tim) and Tim

Jeebs, I doubt any of the other lines would rate the horse any better,
However, It has been running against much better class horses.

Yes, it is true, we can't win them all, Especially if we depend on 1 paceline
I don't like to accept " There is another race in 20 minutes"
and just moving on.

I know that is is a common quote of the PIRCO teachers
I feel if I work and post a race I must have a strong belief that I can win it.
In this race, I did not even have the winner as a contender.
My post-race analysis was that since some turf races show this pattern
I would mention it.

The horse was at the top of its game as a 2-year-old
It needed the drop and won.

Today is a new day :)


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