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-   -   Follow Up On Rmaths' 4 Number System (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=14825)

Lt1 04-25-2022 12:04 PM

Follow Up On Rmaths' 4 Number System
 
Richie and I would talk daily about our selections and how he used the 4 number approach. The main factor was that horses having all 4 numbers[with at least 1 #3 rank] were winning between 85 to 90% of the races. Richie had and extensive data base. Since his untimely passing there hasn't been much in the way of follow ups on the approach. With this in mind I decided to conduct another 100 race survey. The tracks involved were Parx, MVR,LRL, and GP. The survey included all class levels[mdns to Stks] of the races I capped. Here are the results

Winning Horses with all 4 #s[with at least 1 #3 ranking]
80 of 100
Winning Horse with all 4 #s[no #3 ranking]
6 of 100
Winning Horses with 3 #s[regardless of rankings]
9 of 100
Winning Horse with 2 #s
2 of 100
Winning Horses with 1 #
2 of 100
Winning horse with 0 #s
1 of 100
So folks 86% of my winners had all 4 numbers and 9% had 3 numbers. In my humble opinion that's a pretty powerful stat and validates all of Richies' hard work and unselfish sharing of the info. I suggest that folks also read his longshot play approach.
Tim

Lt1 04-25-2022 12:52 PM

Should have added the minimum field size was 8.
Tim

cratman 04-25-2022 04:54 PM

Thanks
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Lt1 (Post 144640)
Should have added the minimum field size was 8.
Tim

Great information. thanks.

Lt1 04-25-2022 05:05 PM

You are welcome but all the credit goes to my late friend Richie Mathie. He was such a caring and sharing person and of course a great capper. Doc. acknowledged him several times in the F/U by posting several of his many signers from MNR where he was known as the computer guy. We suffered a great loss with his passing.
Tim

shoeless 04-26-2022 02:27 PM

Thanks Tim for the update

Lt1 04-26-2022 03:50 PM

You are welcome Jeff.
Tim

tom 04-26-2022 04:09 PM

Good stuff, Tim.
Always pays to re-validate from time to time, to either make adjustments or fuel your confidence.

Lt1 04-26-2022 04:11 PM

Thanks Tom.
Tim

Bill Lyster 04-28-2022 11:27 AM

Tim, was your information as it relates to CSR just as it comes originally from RDSS or do the ratings numbers for CSR reflect an occasional need to recalculate based on one or more bad races in the last four running lines.

Thanks,

Lt1 04-28-2022 12:06 PM

Hi Bill. All the info listed here was based on my final numbers[including any adj to CSR#].
Tim


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