Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Bc 11-6-11-7 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=13337)

Lt1 11-04-2020 07:45 PM

Bc 11-6-11-7
 
For anyone interested I'm posting MY track models for Kee dirt and turf. Just keep in my they are based on my capping but still may be of some help to those playing.
TIM

Hi gang.
For those of you who might find these useful here are my models for Kee dirt and turf They encompass the last meet and those recently run Oct races.

DIRT
DIST DOMINATE RS DOMINATE FACTORS @DIST %MED RANGE
6.0 EP TT,FX,VDC 67.2 69.1 [3 RACES IN OCT 68.0-69.0]
6.5 EP FW,FX,VDC 68.1-69.6 [2 RACES IN OCT 68.1-69.2]
7.0 NONE TT,FW 68.3-69.0 [5 RACES IN OCT 68.1-69.0]
8.0 NONE NONE 66.2-69.5 [1 RACE IN OCT 69.5]
8.5 LP VDC 66.7-67.5[2 RACES OCT. 67.0-67.5]
9.0 LP NONE 66.1-68.2[2 RACES IN OCT 66.1-67.4]


TURF
5.5 LP CPR,FX,VDC 65.4-67.9[ NO RACES IN OCT]
8.0 EP FW,FX,VDC 66.8-68.1[NO RACES IN OCT]
8.5 NONE CPR 65.0-67.5[2 RACES IN OCT 65.0-66.5]
9.0 NONE CPR,FW,VDC 65.7-66.9[2 RACES IN OCT 66.6-66.9]
9.5 LP FX 66.4-66.9[NO RACES IN OCT]
12.0 LP CPR,FW,VDC 66.0-67.2[2 RACES IN OCT 66.0-66.1]

Well that's it. Hopefully it will help in your decision making. Good luck to those playing.
Tim

raceman5 11-04-2020 10:48 PM

Thanks
 
Tim, that was really generous of you BIG TIME!!!!


Bob

Lt1 11-05-2020 07:23 AM

No problem Bob. Like our good friend Bill V always said this site was always about friends helping friends win. Anyway just keep in mind that those models are based on my capping which includes contender and paceline selections that may differ from yours and other members and are posted as general information only.
Tim

coacht 11-05-2020 08:22 AM

Thanks Tim for your dirt and turf models.

Gene

Lt1 11-05-2020 08:27 AM

Your welcome Gene.
Tim

57viking 11-05-2020 08:31 AM

Thanks Tim.....very helpful ......Jim

raceman5 11-05-2020 08:54 AM

Model
 
Tim when you do a model for a track how many races from each distance dirt and turf do u use or is it an ongoing thing.

bob

Lt1 11-05-2020 09:08 AM

You are welcome Jim
Tim

Lt1 11-05-2020 09:25 AM

Bob my models are ongoing for each trk. I update the models everyday right after each is run. Tracks like Parx,TDN, MVR, have hundreds of race while others like CD,KEE, OP, GP, run meet by meet and the number of races contain depends on how many days I choose to cap them but all have enough to form my betting options. Also no mdn,or 2yr old races are included in any model and races carded strictly for 3 yr olds are clearly indicated. I also note trk conditions, and sex of entrants. Just for the record I don't find that much difference between fast & off tracks nor male or female horses. The races for 3 yr olds only tend to have slightly higher % meds,
Tim

raceman5 11-05-2020 09:49 AM

Thanks
 
Tim


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