Phase 1 TPR lessons
 

The best thing to do is try to get a copy of the Pace Makes The Race
The original version might be hard to find. But the second edition works
too.

Attachment 40083

Lesson 1
 

The EPR, Who has the best EPR in this race ?

Its horse #3 Lost bus

Attachment 40084

Attachment 40085

Bill,

Good start to thread


Jeff

This # 4 is a NTL and will be all out. This a tough race overall and the M/L on the # 3 will probably drop.

Mitch44

Bill, great to have you teaching again!

Thanks, Mike

Bill -

The book is still available from Dick Schmidt. I bought sometime in the last year through Amazon and had to laugh when I got a package in the mail directly from Dick with the book, which he autographed.

I have evolved slowly into a TPR player from Synergism over the past 18 months with good results and intend to keep it that way.

Take it easy!

Chuck

One question?
 

I have always wondered what to do about horse who in their last start had: 1. serious commented trouble making the race useless for evaluation purposes, 2. had one or two races off a layoff particularly one race off up to 120 days or so with good works before and after or 2 races off a substantial layoff generally over 200 days or 3. raced on the wrong surface or at the opposite distance structure?
Any substitute race will be older and not necessarily meet the requirement of the "Last Line".

Hi Mark -

I can suggest you listen to the Brohamer Lecture Series, which is posted here on Pace and Cap. Go to the "Audio Collection" then find the Brohamer Tape Lectures. If you pore over these seminars he will answer these questions and many more, probably better than anyone else. They have helped me a great deal!

Chuck

last line
 

Hi Mark and Chuck

The horse should and usually does show something about its current form from the last line.

The nice thing about just looking at the 3 numbers, and the patterns of the horse, is you can see when the last line might fool the public.
Also we can trip handicap,

Here is horse 7 from today's last race a MVR

Attachment 40128

Here are the last lines for all the horses in the race.
Off the last line the top 5 are 5 2 11 7 1 (step 1 )

Attachment 40127

Now jumping right out at me is the late energy of line 1
or ,why did it use less energy early ?

The answer is a trouble trip.

Attachment 40126

It looks like the horse was swung wide . and then ran well to finish with its best ever LPR .

If we forgive this line and move to line 2, I can forgive it because of wrong surface (poly)
So now I go to line 3 . I already know horse 7 rates well off a trouble line
so I am happy to see it rate better off a good line.

The 7 wins at a nice price.

Attachment 40129

Sorry
 

Bill totally disagree with your logic here. first of all running wide is not a troubled trip. If you look at the horses last 10 pp's he has run wide in 4 of them. So IMO opinion thats not an excuse to go to the next line. Now if the hors got hammered by another horse and was forced wide you then have an excuse to go to the next line.

Bob