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-   -   M4$16/2 Oct 29-mowens33 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10686)

The Pook 10-24-2016 08:48 AM

M4$16/2 Oct 29-mowens33
 
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Mike

mowens33 10-28-2016 06:28 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Belmont 9

The Pook 10-29-2016 12:38 PM

BEL9

From a 22.2/45 set by the three early horses 1,3 and 10, I see OTE. The most competent of those for me are 2,4,6,8. Closest to the pace of those are 2,8 just edging out 6 which ran well against the FPLR but may be too far back.

2,8 WIN
Pook

cigar 10-29-2016 02:35 PM

Bel R9
 
Pace: 22.7 - 45.3
OTE
Contends: 2-4-6-9-13

1 - set pace - out
2 - Chad Brown lesser know - have more upside - Contender
3 - move up in class - out
4 - will have too much to make up in the stretch - Contender - out
5 - not in form - out
6 - not sure if he likes fast track - mud move up - out
7 - Scratch
8 - can't keep up with pace - out
9 - Longshot - can keep up with todays pace - contender
10 - up in class - out
11 - cannot keep up - out
12 - cannot keep up - out
13 - Wide post have too much to over come - contender - out

Win: 2-9
Place: 9

mowens33 10-29-2016 04:56 PM

22.2--45.4
Contenders 2-4-6-8-13
OTE
My picks: 4 and 6

gandalf380 10-29-2016 05:04 PM

the speed horses are on the inside and the closers towards the outside. I think the 2 will try to set it up for his stablemate. therefore I am looking for a very fast pace and the race to go OTE. I think the best closers are 6 and 8.

#6 Stallwalkin Dude
#8 Ami's Flatter
both to win.

Capcondo 10-29-2016 05:08 PM

There's not a lot of speed in this race. The 1 and possibly the 3 will run early in something like 22.3 45.0. I don't trust routing speed in a sprint. I don't think either early horse can win. I'm looking OTE for a horse that can run well against that kind of a pace and can execute strong internal fractions. I arrive on the 8.

In his last he was in an 11.3 between the half and 5f not losing any ground. Then, 4 back against a 22.3 and 24.2, he made a real power move.

The 8 is my choice to win the race.

mick 10-29-2016 05:09 PM

To paraphrase Clark Gable, "Frankly, my dear, I don't know."

My play, however, is #4 to Win and Place.

I see the contenders as #2, #4, #6 and #8. Lots of early, so I see OTE. My pick is chalk and has to move forward.

mick

mick 10-29-2016 05:18 PM

6-2-4

Congratulations, Mike and Charlie.

cigar pegged my #4 perfectly - too much ground to make up.

mick

mowens33 10-29-2016 10:07 PM

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