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-   -   Barb Craven - My Practice Selections (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8330)

barb craven 05-26-2012 08:12 AM

Barb Craven - My Practice Selections
 
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This is from yesterday just after I found out about the practice week.
I keep my configuration on the defaults except for using DVT range of+/-15. I then put in the automatic PSS best of the last 3 perceptor, then I checked each horse to be sure I had the right line selected using the adjusted screen and checked the workouts if it is a lightly raced horse although in this race at Parx the horses are racing continuously. I then eliminated down to the the top 5 BL/BL using the primary screen. Then, as this is a sprint I started looking at the POH screen for the horses with the best 2nd fraction and second call, which was the #2 and as this is a longer sprint I looked for the horse with the best deceleration which was the #5. Then I moved to the energy screen looking for the best E/EP, again the #2, with the #5 having the best Hidden and TPP. then on to the BL/BL. For me tier 3 wins more times than not. As #5 was #1 BL/BL with lots of red and a good price, he was of course my first bet, with the #2 as my second.
If this was the contest I would have put $50 on the #5 and #2.
Attachment 26971
Today I will post a route in advance, but I wanted to show how I pick a sprint.

barb craven 05-26-2012 10:14 AM

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Sorry, should have posted the outcome.

Attachment 26974
#2 wins for $15.60
Bet $100, return $390
$2000-$100+$390 = $2290
I actually bet this yesterday, with both the 2 and 5 in an exacta which paid $107

Bill V. 05-26-2012 10:20 AM

Excellent
 
Thank You Barb

You did a fantastic job, with the screen shots, the workup and the reporting of the results. and cashing the winning tickets

good skill to you

Bill

PS
I miss Parx :)

barb craven 05-26-2012 10:47 AM

Thank you
 
It's there for the taking Bill. It's been paying well lately. I also won the 9th, a 7.5 T that was taken off the turf and lengthened to a mile. I can post that too if you want me to.

barb craven 05-26-2012 11:47 AM

practice prx 0526r3
 
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Fields are smaller at Prx today and so are some prices. Race 3. Same parameters as before.
Horse 2, I changed the line from 2 to 1 because I don't like using 5.5 lines for a route.
Horse 3 - I don't like using a line 222 days ago, but the horse had been working out, the last 3 being at 5f.
Horse 7 - I try to keep the line picked to 90 days, but this one had worked out 6 days ago, so I used line 2.
Attachment 26975
All screens clearly show #5 and #4 as the horses to beat, but I don't like the odds. BL/BL shows #7 as #2 Hid and LPR and DCL and he is a closer.
I'll bet $25 to win on #5,$50 to win on #7 and $25 to place on #7.

barb craven 05-26-2012 01:17 PM

My Bad
 
Sorry about that. I was playing this morning with both the 25th and the 26 and posted Race 3 for yesterday instead of today (which I lost). :o I will now do race 5 for today.

barb craven 05-26-2012 02:08 PM

Prx r5
 
$25 w,p 6
$25 w 4
425 w 2

Ted Craven 05-26-2012 02:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by barb craven (Post 80078)
$25 w,p 6
$25 w 4
425 w 2

This is a good example to use as a reminder of some of the contest rules:

- only 2 horses permitted (you bet on 3 horses - the 2,4,6)

- the Contest Manager would have changed your bet to:

$25 WP 6 = $50
$50 W 4 = $50

Total = $100

The final bet on the #2 would have been dropped. Of course, if you had spotted that before the Off Time, you could simply re-post for that race.

Ted

barb craven 05-26-2012 05:56 PM

Bad Day All Round
 
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This isn't my day today. Not only did I post the wrong days races this morning, but put in too many horses this afternoon. To top off that, I put in the wrong line for horse #6 in Prx race 5.
Attachment 26982
The second line which I put in this morning is suspiciously high and put him on top. On going over the race after it ran I put in line 3, a more representative line which put him on the bottom and then I would have had the winners, with my favourite tier 3, horse #1, coming in first.:o:o

Ted Craven 05-26-2012 06:23 PM

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No worries Mum! That's why we're having this practice week! To get familiar with the rules, to get comfortable with how much attention needs to be paid, to work out the logistics, etc. I understand Bill V is having a think about your question elsewhere re conditional wagering, and will respond soon.

An observation from your Result Chart posts above: if you make them less wide (e.g. less than 1100 pixels wide) we won't have to horizontally scroll the screen to see the entire width of it. For web pages, you can make the browser window less than full screen and the chart web page will resize itself so it is not so wide - then you can still take a screenshot of the whole width of it. Like this, perhaps (1035 pixels wide):

Attachment 26984

Ted


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