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-   -   BEL p6 Forced Payout Full Card 6/21/20 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=13062)

rdiam 06-21-2020 12:44 PM

BEL p6 Forced Payout Full Card 6/21/20
 
Bel p6 Forced Payout ($328,126) Full Card 6/21/20

Happy Father's Day!

r1: As 5-8, Bs 1-2-4, Cs 6-10, Xs 7-12: chaos, lets see if Franco on the 5 can control the pace and steal this as no one wants the lead

r2: As 3-6, Bs 5, Cs 7-1: chalky, four of five at FTS, 3 is well meant FTS with Wesley Ward/Irad Ortiz trainer/jockey combo

r3: As 2-5, Bs 1, Cs 3-6, Xs 7: chalky, 2 likely pounded by rebate syndicates

r4: As 2-7-8, Bs 3, Cs 6, Xs 1-4-5, wide open, 7 showing some quality works after 98 days off, 3 may show decent odds

r5: As 3-6, Bs 7, Cs 2-4-5-8, predictable, 3 likely pounded by rebate syndicates, fast early pace may set up for 6 to close

r6: As 1-2-8, Bs 3-6-7, Cs 4-5-9: wide open, 8 is well meant FTS with Chad Brown/Irad Ortiz trainer/jockey combo, three of nine have not run on turf, 3 may show some value if Lezcano can steal on the lead

r7: As 3-5-8, Bs 6-4, Cs 1, Xs 2: wide open, fast early pace may set for 8 to close, but has apprentice jockey who may not appreciate and get caught up in the hot pace, perhaps a race where Saez presses with the 6

r8: As 4-6-11, Bs 1-3, Cs 7-8-9, Xs 2: wide open, 4 needs the lead, 3 may show decent odds, 11 shows decent works after 197 day layoff

r9: As 8-9-12, Bs 2-3-11, Cs 5-7, Xs 1-4-6-10: chaos, a bunch of cripples, 8 shows decent jockey/trainer combo, 12 been working well after 203 day layoff and may show decent odds, 9 will close

Good luck

Richard

Lt1 06-21-2020 12:59 PM

Good luck Richard.
Tim

rdiam 06-21-2020 07:07 PM

Results:

r1: A(8)-A(5): $1 ex $16.10

r2: A(3)-A(6): $1 ex $2.05, $1 DD $5.70

r3: A(5)-A(2): $1 ex $5.80, $1 DD $5.20, $1.00 p3 $23.80

r4: A(7)-B(3): $1 ex $7.50, $1 DD $5.00, $1.00 p3 $10.20

r5: C(4)-B(7): missed

r6: A(2)-B(3): $2 win $13.40, $1 ex $49.00

r7: A(8)-B(4): $1 ex $14.80, $1 DD $18.50

r8: B(1)-A(6): $2 win $20.00, $1 ex $41.00, $1 DD $45.00, $1 p3 $219.00

r9: B(11)-A(8): $2 win $19.80, $1 ex $34.75, $1 DD $114.75, $1 p3 $307.50, $0.50 p4 $967.25

Race 5 post-mortem: fatal mistake today on the winner (4): needed to use the Nov 23 race on turf that was 5 back to make the 4 a B and include him. Grrr... still, some prices in second half of the card so not a bad day at all. Key was identifying races 6,7,8 as wide open and race 9 as chaos to include B horses as well as A horses.

Richard


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