KGEN/Thromation misses if you just look at the final screen
 

Hello classic Sartin programs users

This is a race from about a week ago from Laurel.

I will just post the contenders first

My lines

Attachment 47697

Attachment 47698

Attachment 47699

Attachment 47700

Attachment 47701

Nice
 

Okay so everything looks in order right?
This was a 10 horse field, I eliminated half the field already, just from my
paceline/contender work

I am left with five horses
#2 # 3 #4 #9 #12

Easy I will just send the race to KGEN and run the race in thoromation

Attachment 47702

Thoromation
 

So I bypass all the KGEN Screen and just go to thoromation,

The first screens I look at are the preplay stop action screens
The one that comes up first in this race is the SP or OTE


Attachment 47703


The opposite screen in this race would be the EXDC screen

Attachment 47705

So it looks like a real toss up.
Who do I take?

Here is thoromation

Attachment 47704

match
 

the best I can tell is thoromation and EXDC match

The top 2 finishers are the 2 and the 4

Guess what If I ran to the window and bet the 2 and 4
I would lose.

Take a look at this race.

If I just depended on the final thormation screen
I would have lost, But with a little thought and from reading
the Follow-ups The winner, although not clear cut from KGEN or Energy
or thooromation or even Entropy will not come up top 2 but actually
is gettable.

Conditions
 

Now looking at the race in a more complete way,
The first step is to look at the conditions

This is an optional Claimer for $16000

One of the conditions is horses who have never won 2 races


Attachment 47706

Conditions
 

I strongly base my line selection based on the conditions of the race
I don't throw out many horses based on the conditions alone
but I look for clues when picking my pacelines

Here are all the horses again. Look at the class of the races
from which I took my pacelines '

Attachment 47707

Two of the five horses # 3 and 4 come out of the same condition as today's race
Two horses # 9 and 12 come out of a restricted claiming race for CL25, nonwinners of 3 life. The purse for horses 3 and 4 was $23000
The purse for the restricted claiming race was $17,000

The 2 horse won its MS $23000 and now face winners for the first time

at this point, the 3 and 4 have a class advantage
I also know that I have a few things to consider about the 2 horse
and that it facing winners for the first time

Energy Generator
 

The first screen we should be looking at is the energy generator

Here we go and sure thing what do I see

The #3 is a lone early

Attachment 47708

pre play again
 

Let's look at the pre plays again

Attachment 47709

Attachment 47710

The thing to always check when a maiden winner goes against winners
for the first time is to check the TT or middle panel of its maiden win line
compared to the horses who have won

The #2 horse is very week on the turn This is a real neagtive

readouts
 

I removed the MS winner # 2

Now I will check the line graphs

Each of the 6 line graphs shows no horse with an advantage or disadvantage

Attachment 47712

I will again run the race in thormoation

Attachment 47711

The 9 and 12 win
the 4 edges out the 3

Because of the #3 being the lone early, Along with the fact that none of the graphs show any advantage. The proper play should have been
win bets on #9 and #12 and a 3 horse box of the two win horse and the lone counter energy #3

I was sloppy this time, But following the Sartin guidelines I will learn to be better

Good Skill
Here is the chart


Attachment 47713

Thanks, Bill. From listening to some old Sartin tapes, several people mentioned they play the firs screen that comes up on Kgen/Thoromation.