Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   5/2-PRX race 4-VAL4 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11145)

ray lopez 05-02-2017 11:50 PM

5/2-PRX race 4-VAL4
 
3 Attachment(s)
Looking at the velocity screen,#2 and #1 were my top 2 choices...confirmed by the incremental match-up graph.

2 min to post,here were the odds:

#1- 5/2
2- 3/1
3 - 5/1
4- scratched
5- 7/2
6 - 5/1
7 - 35/1
8 - 8/1

Looking at the BL/BL screen,the 2 and the 1 were the bets,going 60/40 ratio.I bet the 2.When the gate closed,the # 2 was 5/2...When it won,it was the only horse that went down the odds,,,9/5...

But anyway,the reason a lot of players don't like Val 4 is because they think the winner should be on the top 2 all the time...and they try back-fitting after the race is over,trying to find the right pace line that will put the winner on the top...law of averages will always prevail...there will be more losers than winners...the trick is to make money when your horse wins.

ray lopez 05-02-2017 11:51 PM

1 Attachment(s)
...and the proof of life...

Mitch44 05-03-2017 08:11 AM

Congrats !!! Well done.
Mitch44


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