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-   -   Aldens dad August (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8567)

Aldens_dad 08-03-2012 08:09 AM

Aldens dad August
 
Just got back from an ugly business trip!!! Can't wait to start working with RDSS and picking some cherries!!!

Good luck to everone and congrats to the July winners!!!!!

Aldens_dad 08-03-2012 09:30 AM

8/3/2012 SPA Race 1
 
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6f sprint going with the #1 and #5 both ranked 1st and 2nd in VDC and LS the #6 came in first in the primary tab but threw out looking at past 2 races, he is the ML-2 favorite so well try to beat her

So far the horse on the lead at Saratoga in sprints has won like 40% of the races, something I saw on TVG last nite so hopefully that holds true with the #1 having the best EPR

50$ W 1
50$ W 5

Aldens_dad 08-03-2012 11:32 AM

8/3/2012 SPA Race 9
 
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Whats not to like about the #7 here in race 9. 7 wins past 10 races and 5 of these were graded stakes, best early speed, goes back to jockey that has won 7 times with this horse over last 10, workouts look great, ML 3.5 .... this might be at very low odds at post time but a wins a win

$100 W #7

Aldens_dad 08-04-2012 10:06 AM

8/4/2012 Suffolk Race 1
 
2 Attachment(s)
8f claiming 12k

usually don't like to select a horse from an extended layoff but will go against my typical thinking and trust the program. I selected the last line for #6 which was over 6 months ago and a turf line but even if I went back to the 3rd last race he was still in the top 2 BL so again I will trust the computer. I did 2 savescreens and circled a few important readouts so anyone following could understand why I selected these contenders. Here goes nothing....

$50 W #2
$50 W #6

no place betting here!!!:D

Aldens_dad 08-04-2012 12:11 PM

8/4/2012 Suffolk race 10
 
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5.5f 4k claimers, dismissed ML favotite #4 since he is coming off a long layoff and looks to me like alot of hype in his past races...

Got rid of #1 since only 3 of last 10 ran on dirt and they were his worst races by far

Hope my decision was correct...even with those 2 horse on the BL screen my contenders are still ranked 1st and 3rd

$50 W #3
$50 W #6

Aldens_dad 08-04-2012 01:12 PM

Suffolk Race 1 results
 
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winner winner chicken dinner!!!

feels good to get the first one for August:):):)

Aldens_dad 08-05-2012 02:42 PM

8/5/2012 Arlington Park Race 4
 
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8.5 f claim 25 k after eliminating the #1 and #2 as the pretenders I had a pretty good idea who's the real contenders

My screenshot says it all

$50 W #7
$50 W #5

Aldens_dad 08-05-2012 03:55 PM

8/5/2012 Arlington Park Race 5
 
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Race 4 didn't work out lets see if Race 5 is any better...

$50 W #7 and #8

Aldens_dad 08-05-2012 04:49 PM

8/5/2012 Arlington Park Race 8
 
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$50 W #1 and #3

time to right the ship:cool:

Aldens_dad 08-06-2012 11:14 AM

8/6/2012 Delaware Race 2
 
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Well went 0-3 yesterday...back to the basics, watched a few seminars from the library last nite and will not apply my own logic since thats what the program does...

Feel good about todays secondrace at Delaware Park

6f claim
going with the top 2 picks and the best early and late speed/pace figs as well

$50 win 7 & 4:):):)


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