Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - Jim's 5 Step Approach in Action

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Jim's 5 Step Approach in Action

Date- Sunday May 14th
Track- Belmont Park
Race - 8th race
Distance - 9 Furlongs on Belmont's Inner Turf course
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The following is Jim's analysis and complete breakdown of the race.

First I am going to post screen shots of all the horse's past performances. When I get them all posted then I will post Jim's analysis and breakdown of the race.

Very cool Jim!

Belmont May 14th 8th Race

I just got a big boost from Ted who was able to put all the horse's past performances on a PDF file for us. Saves me a ton of work and also makes it real easy to scroll right down the line as we follow Jim's analysis.

Thanx Ted:)

Please note as Jim does that the numbers 11-12-13-14 are scratched.

Here is the PDF of the race's past performances.

Jim's Race Analysis and Breakdown / Step by Step

Here is Jim's analysis and step by step approach to this race.

Please NO questions about software and this race in this area ok? Jim is not into software of ANY kind and relies and teaches strictly based on past performances from the Racing Form.

I would appreciate it if we all can respect his wishes ok? Thank you :)

Here is Jim's 5 Step Approach in Action!

Thanx Hat!

Beautiful! Thanks Jim!! You too Richie and Ted!

Best regards,

Jon

Thanks Jim great job also Richie and Ted as well.Jeff

Thanks to both Ritchie and Ted. Beautiful guys. Double thanks to Ritchie.
He reviewed the Five Step Approach. Everyone owes him a huge Thanks.

Jim

Quote:

Originally Posted by RichieP

Here is the Result chart of the race

Code:

 Belmont Park - Sunday, May 14th, 2006 

Conditions: 1 1/8 MILES (Inner Turf) STAKES. Kingston H.. INNER TURF A HANDICAP FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. By subscription of $100 each, which should accompany the nomination; A supplemental nomination fee of $1,000 may be made by Friday, May 5; $500 to pass the entry box; $500 to start, with $100,000 added. All entrants will be required to pay entry and starting fees. The added money and all fees to be divided 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth, 3% to fifthand 2% divided equally among remaining finishers. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. The New York Racing Association reserves the right to transfer this race to the Main Track. Closed Saturday, April 29, 2006 with 31 Nominations.

Purse: $100,000 Value of Race: $114,100 1st $68,460 2nd $22,820 3rd $11,410 4th $5,705 5th $3,423 6th $381 7th $381 8th $381 9th $381 10th $381 11th $377    Mutuel Pool: $574,255 Exacta Pool: $416,125 Trifecta Pool: $369,940 Grand Slam Pool: $17,480





# Horse A/S M/E Wgt PP St 1/4 1/2 3/4 Str Fin Jockey Odds 

8 Dave 5 G L  116 9 5 81/2 8hd 82 31/2 11 Castellano Javier  5.00 

1A Golden Commander 6 G L  118 8 9 91 7hd 71/2 1hd 21 1/2 Prado Edgar S. *2.45 

2 Pa Pa Da 5 G L b 117 1 10 11  11  11  61/2 31/2 Arroyo, Jr. Norberto  10.90 

7 Foreverness 7 G L b 119 7 4 61/2 61 1/2 6hd 4hd 41 Coa Eibar  2.95 

9 Chestertown Slew 4 C L  115 10 3 31 1/2 31 31/2 2hd 5no Migliore Richard  9.00 

10 Certifiably Crazy 6 G L b 120 11 8 4hd 5hd 51/2 51 1/2 62 1/4 Velasquez Cornelio H. 5.90 

3 Irving's Doers 5 G L  116 2 11 103 101 1/2 101 8hd 74 1/4 Smith Mike E. 26.25 

6 Retribution 4 G L b 116 6 2 21 1hd 21/2 71 82 Gomez Garrett K. 15.50 

5 No Parole 7 G L b 115 5 7 51/2 41/2 41/2 94 1/2 91 3/4 Luzzi Michael J. 28.50 

4 Charimount 4 C L  114 4 6 71 1/2 95 91/2 11  106 1/2 Fragoso Pablo  69.50 

1 Unnerving 5 G L  113 3 1 11/2 21 1/2 1hd 10hd 11  Jara Fernando  *2.45 

Off Time: 4:45    Start: 11 went. Good for all. Won driving.   Track: Good   Weather: Cloudy 61o 

Fractions: :233, :472, 1:113, 1:363, 1:49    (:23.72, :47.50, 1:11.79, 1:36.73, 1:49.13) 





# Horse Win Place Show 

8 Dave 12.00 5.40 4.30 

1A Golden Commander  4.20 2.90 

2 Pa Pa Da   6.60 

Pedigree:  8 - Dave, Bay Gelding, 5, by Ends Well - Commadore's Gold by Commadore C. 





Wager Type Payoff   Winning Numbers Pool 

$2 Exacta $46.20   8-1  $416,125 

$2 Trifecta $255.00   8-1-2  $369,940 

$2 Grand Slam $129.00   1/5/8-1/4/5-1/2/4-8 (4 Correct)  $17,480

I forgot to mention a BIG THANKS to Gary who if it wasnt for him The Hat wouldnt have been here in the first place.Also he is no slouch when it comes to The Match Up as well.Jeff

Thanks you everyone

I very happy that we are all here working together
You guys are what makes this site.

Everyone, Richie, Jim

Sorry to be a ball breaker but I'm going through this 5 step document a line at a time and found a couple of corrections necessary.
The first is here.

There are quite a few Tandems in the race. You may mark them all, but I will mark the main Tandems, which are:

1. FOREVERNESS - Today’s distance at Aqueduct
2. RETRIBUTIO - One Mile at Aqueduct
3. CHILLY ROO - One Mile at Aqueduct
4. DAVE - Today’s Distance at Saratoga

THERE IS NO HORSE CHILLY ROO IN THIS RACE

The paceline for Retribution, four lines back in the PDF with the PP's I have the following times.
47 110.3 135.2 147.4
I don't see the 23.2 time on the PP that is in the 5 step document. Where did that come from?

I'm not trying to nit pick but like I said, I am really going through this and some of the errors had me confused for a while. That's really not a hard thing to do.

I was more confused when I looked at the orignial pacelines in VAL3 and then in Spec and even though they use the same trackmaster data file the original pacelines didn't agree with each other for 1st Call, 2nd Call and Final.
I'll post that one up on another section of the site.

Charlie