Arlington Million
 

Hi FTL

There seem to be some questions about this race.
I was hoping you can work the race and give us your opinion
I realize its a turf race with quite a few Euro's Not a great race for you.
I would appreciate if you could run through the pacelines

The PP's are in this thread

http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11761


Here are my thoughts

H1 No lines in North America
H2 Spring Quality Scratch
H3 Almanaar LIne 1 is a Hi class OC win. Same distance Belmont Turf
H4 Divisidero Scratch
H5 Century Dream Euro
H6 Catcho En Die No line 20/1
H7 Twenty Four Seven No Line 30/1
H8 Money Multiplier Eith Line 1 or 2 Both are graded Stakes win lines One is 11 furlongs line 2 is 9 furlongs.
H9 Deauville Euro
H10 Robert Bruce Line 1 is a trouble line "bumped" He did make two moves
and finished 6th but beaten by less than 2 lengths
Line 1 Is a plus line but 98 days ago. It was his first race in North America
H11 Oscar Performance Line 1 is a plus grade 3 win

My lines

Attachment 46909


My Energy Program is not working on this laptop I can only use KGEN

My look

My lines

Attachment 46910

I eliminated horse 8 line 1 because line 2 rates better and a more comparable total energy

I am left with only 4 horses so I can go right to the Preplays

I still am getting the warning to use the 2 adjust

Here is exdc " Normal"

Attachment 46911


Here is SP Favors late energy I would use this screen in a high-class turf race

Attachment 46912

Thoromation with the 2 adjust is inconclusive everybody ends up tied except
for horse 11

Hi Bill,

Sure. No problem.
Like you said, this is not a race I would look at for the reasons you mentioned among others.
As the old saying goes, “I wouldn’t touch it it with a ten foot pole”. :)
Anyway, here are my horses/lines.

#1 – NO LINE. ML=30/1 and EURO with no N American lines
#2 – SCR
#3 – Last line. A “+” race. First race back after 482 layoff in an Optional Claimer. Hardly a Grade 1 race.
#4 – SCR
#5 – NO LINE. EURO horse with no N American lines
#6 – NO LINE. ML=20/1
#7 – NO LINE. ML=30/1
#8 – Line 2. A “+” race. Last line distance is 11f.
#9 – NO LINE. No recent N American lines.
#10 – NO LINE. Last race is a “0” line and only race in the last 90 days. If the last race was a “trouble line” that would take me beyond 90 days to go to line 2.
#11 – Last line. It is a “+” race.

Thank You
 

Thanks FTL

I was not sure about the 8 I ended up using the second line

I forgave the last line for horse 10 The comment says "bumped between 4 wide"

I can't tell from the TPR numbers because of the marathon distance how much the bump effected him But since he had a perfect record up until the last race
I excused the 10 line 1

Attachment 46918