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-   Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=116)
-   -   Modeling (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11689)

papajohn3times 06-24-2018 02:29 PM

Modeling
 
Hello all!
First off,I want to personally thank Bill V. on his reply to my pm
Now what I would like to know are 2 questions:

1. Do most of you use a seperate bank for exotics?
2, When modeling(brohamer model) Do you only record horses you have bet and WON? or if you worked the race and lost but the winner was a contender that I had in my top 5,do you record his stats as well?

While still learning aspects of the match-up,I have been doing pretty good

and while I am t it,when I lose I tend to scale back my next bets when I should be just sticking to a % using the Kelly criterian,and ideas on this?

Also I want to thank Ted,Bill V, TIM(LT) Mitch 44 and Mick,they have helped so much and although I have never contacked Ritchie,his work on the match-up is fantastic to say the least!

Thank you all so so much
Papa John

Bill V. 06-24-2018 03:31 PM

Model
 
Hi

First off you have a super bunch of guys helping you !

I do not have separate bankrolls for exotics
I do not play them that often. I usually go in partners with multiple
players here at Surfside race place OTB and I chip in with cash or vouchers

I only model races that I work
If I open a race and get through the contender/paceline step
I will record the race whether or not I bet it.

I don't model races after the fact . I only model races
from races I have selected the lines and contenders before the fact .

Best Skill
Bill

papajohn3times 06-24-2018 03:35 PM

Lose?
 
Thank for BL POST!
1 more question Do you record just races you won or lost. I appreciate your efforts!
Papa John

Bill V. 06-24-2018 03:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by papajohn3times (Post 116135)
Thank for BL POST!
1 more question Do you record just races you won or lost. I appreciate your efforts!
Papa John

I model races were I pick pacelines and contenders
bet or not win or lose , If I pick lines I model the race

Best skill
Bill

papajohn3times 06-24-2018 05:30 PM

thanks again
 
Thanks again for the reply!

Your sa race
I bet 1 and 5 to win bet 1 exacta 1/5/2 with 1 2 5 7 8

Bill V. 06-24-2018 09:26 PM

nice try
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papajohn3times (Post 116143)
Thanks again for the reply!

Your sa race
I bet 1 and 5 to win bet 1 exacta 1/5/2 with 1 2 5 7 8

Nice try the 7 wins the race but the 1 5 and 2 did nothing
I lost my pick 4 I had the other 3 legs :mad:


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