Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Op 3-12 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12853)

Lt1 03-12-2020 01:22 PM

Op 3-12
 
03-12-2020, 01:08 PM http://www.therxforum.com/images/ana...reputation.gif
R1 2475 ls6 #2 ROUTINE PLAY
r2 1572 #1 ROUTINE PLAY 2ND OFF CLM
r3 7465 mdns #7 ROUTINE PICK WEAK MDNS LOT OF ???
r4 6297 ls3 #6 UP AFTER WIN
r5 2347 #2 LIKELY FAV
r6 1369 ls10 mdns #1 2ND OFF L/O
r7 1723 ls4 #1 LIKELY FAV 2ND OFF L/O
r8 5362 #5 PRICE PLAY LIGHTLY RACED 3 YR OLDS
r9 6487 ls 2 #6 FAV WILL BE CLOSING
good luck
TIM

Lt1 03-12-2020 07:28 PM

Todays' recap 9 races capped
3 #1s 4.20,4.40.7.00
5 #2s 9.80,14.40,7.40,17.60,7.20
1 #3 7.80
All 9 winners top 3
exotics in top 4
8 dds 49.20,35.00,59.00,15.20,10.20,60.00,64.80,28/00
5 exs 27.60,20.00,61.80,91.00,26.20
4 tris 13.45,32.05,44.60,18.50
2 supers 19.29,16.50
6 p3s 41.80,30.20,13.30,40.40,48.90,77.35
1 p4 179.04
1 p5 434.35
Tim

barryt 03-12-2020 07:41 PM

I didn’t see this earlier
But here’s my results from OP using strict best of last 3 distance( sprint or route) and fast track( no AW)
SPRINTS
Date Race ESP RAN EPR FFR TPR ODDS
20200312 1 E P 2 5 1 3.9
20200312 4 P EP 5 1 5 2.7
20200312 5 E E 2 1 1 1.1
20200312 7 S S X 1 3 7.8
ROUTES
20200312 2 P PS 1 3 1 2.9
20200312 3 S S 5 1 1 6.2
20200312 9 P EP X 1 5 2.5

Dam I forgot this looks great in preview but then it ignores the spacing when you post it
ESP is pre race and RAN is actual running style

barryt 03-12-2020 08:26 PM

In review I noticed that I didn’t use the best of 3 for R1#2 which would have been its last race. But it was such an outlier in terms of Bris EPR and SR and a new top at 6 yr that I couldn’t see a repeat so I went back, before post, and used Sep 13.

Lt1 03-12-2020 08:43 PM

Barry I used line 2 on that horse for the exact reason you stated lifetime best by an older horse.
Tim


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