Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Mth 5-14 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=14872)

Lt1 05-14-2022 11:54 AM

Mth 5-14
 
TRK SLY SEALED. More rain in forecast. Haven't looked here in over a yr. Once again no capping on my part other then some pl changes. Didn't account for off trk either so let's see how RDSS does under adverse conditions.
R1 8145 LS7
R2 4576
R3 4516
R4 5342 LS9
R5 1456 3 YR OLDS
R6 4615
R7 92510 LS3
R8 6143 LS5
R9 8921
R10 7598 LS2
GOOD LUCK
Tim

Lt1 05-14-2022 12:01 PM

Check out the fixed odds betting vs tote board.

darmar 05-14-2022 03:30 PM

No need to be worried with the Obiwan at the helm. Great Skill Lt1
Darryl

Lt1 05-14-2022 03:32 PM

Thanks partner.
Obi

Lt1 05-14-2022 04:59 PM

Todays' recap. 10 races lookes at
5 #1s 7.80,5.20,8.00[dhr6]8.40,3.40
1 #2 6.00
0 #3s
2 #4s 15.60,24.20
3 not top 4 25.60,4.60[dhr6].14.20 LSP R7
Exotics in top 4
5dds 52.60,63.60,34.20,20.60,61.40
4 exs 46.60,37.00,23.40,11.40,
3 tris 24.95,17.75,7.20
1 super 9.03
2 p3s 53.95,62.60
0p4-5-6
Longshot recap
R4 LSP 3RD NO EXOTIC
R7 LSP won over topand 4th dd r6-7 pd 70.40,ex pd 63.40,tri pd 169.10. dd r78 pd65.20,p3r5-7 pd 67.40,p3 r6-8 pd 80.60,p3 r7-9 pd 28.30,p4 pd 558.35,p5 pd 2052.40[dhr6],p6 pd 1191.16[dhr6]
R10 LSP 2ND BEHIND 4th ahead of 3rd ex pd 282.00,tri pd 477.20
Wow despite off track RDSS had a very big day when 2 lsp hit. Is there any doubt left in the power of this program coupled with proper contenders and pacelines. 8of 10 winners in top 4
Tim
Tim

darmar 05-14-2022 05:07 PM

Great work today Tim, R10 was another great example of
RMath's 4 factor combined with his LS play to et a daymaker exacta!!!
Darryl

Lt1 05-14-2022 05:11 PM

Thanks Darryl. 6 0f 10 in top 2, 8 of 10 winners in top 4 with no capping except checking pls. 2 double digit and would have had a third except for the dh. Hard to beat that with a stick.
Tim

Lt1 05-14-2022 05:40 PM

Very true Darryl. In this case the 8 was 5th on the RX screen and for the those who blindly accept the tier ranking or have top 2 itis not a play. However if one pays attention to details they would have noted that the #3[tiered4th] had a bal of 9 was seldom if ever wins a dirt race. Now you have the 8th in a playable 4th tier and #2 on bl/bl @5/2 going off at 11-1. Now if one were capping they would also see that the #3 tiered 3rd on RX had no vdc rank and project to be 9 lengths behind at the 2nd call and tiered last on bl/bl.. Full disclosure the 8 projected 6 at 2c. And for good measure for those who followed Docs advise not to stop after the primary factors and looked to the right they would have noted that the 8 had 2#1 and @#2 supplemental rankings. Pretty strong for a 11-1 shot. Paying attention to details like this can make a big difference.
Tim

Lt1 05-14-2022 06:37 PM

And take a look at all the corollary support for the LS #2. It ranks #2 LPR #3CPR,#2 HID,#3FX,#3 VCD &CPR PLUS #3 IN 3 OF TH4 SUPP RATINGS. This is the kind of LS you hope for. If you watch the race it broke dead last way behind the field and close like a bandit for 2nd.
Tim


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