DaisyCutter Handicap
 

This is not a red board I WORKED THIS RACE but I was not feeling well
today and slept through it.

This is the 7th race today at DEL Mar It is the Daisycutter Handicap
The high weights in this race seemed not much of an issue as nobody really stands out.

Attachment 46759

I will post the PP's and my comments but not the readouts
till later If you want to work the race on your own

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in the mean time
 

Here is the BLBL

It is old school look for you if you're curious - no hides or separations of contenders.

I will show my readout breakdowns later.

What do you think ?

Good Skill


Bil

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Horses
 

1,2,3,4,5

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Horses
 

6 7 8 9

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Morning Bill!
I just worked the race over coffee and landed on the #9, was looking for 3/1 or better to bet saw he went off at 7/2 so definitely a bet and LOSS.


I hope you are feeling better, we cant wait to see you in a couple of weeks!
Karen sends her love :)

Contenders
 

Rich I
I have the 9 as a win contender
After a look, a little closer and got a message I decided to go with the 6 and 7

My first bet would be the 7 at 15/1 ML
2 reasons I chose the 6 over the 9
1 the fact that the 9 has never run a plus race against older horses
Next was the distance She ran 3rd at DMR as a 2-year-old
The SA hill horses have been doing well at DMR if they had a + race in the past at DMR's turf course.
She has made her mark at 6.5 and 6 furlongs
I would have to forgive the 104 days layoff
She has done very well after layoffs in her past and she has excellent
workouts

The 6 has run 2 plus turf sprints against older horses
She ships in so I have no DMR lines to race
She has 2 good workouts since the last race
only 61 days ago.

My choices 6 and 7 Since I am not betting the 9 to win, the 7 moves up
into the top 3 RX2

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I bet the 7 and 8 to win in this race and the winner capped off a huge day as I won 3 of the 5 races I played. I had a single contender using the FTL Guidelines in the opener which gave me Lucky Staxx at $13.60, lost the second and the fifth, but had a single 10 dollar win bet in the fourth on Perfect Wager who I felt was the only value of my top 3 FTL contenders for a $29.00 mutuel. Del Mar had started a little slowly for me but there have definitely been some signs in the last few days.

Good job Bill

Neil

About the race
You’re correct, Bill.
The high weights do not play a part in this handicap race.
The idea in handicap races is to isolate the top 3 (possibly 4) high weighted horses. In this race there are 6 horses among the 3 high weights.

Eliminations
The #4 and #5 are eliminated for having a ML =>20/1

The #1 is eliminated for having not run in the last 90 days
The #9 is eliminated for having not run in the last 90 days AND, as an additional handicapping note, today’s race is its’ first time against older horses.

The #2 and #3 are eliminated as they do not have a qualifying race in the past 90 days.

Remaining contenders
#6 – last line, a + race
#7 – last line, a + race
#8 – last line, a (+) race where it gained ground between the 1st and 2nd calls to be within 2 lengths of the leader at the second call.

Conclusion
I don’t know how that contender and line selection works out in RDSS or any other program.

However, with only 3 contenders, if you are playing two horses and/or playing horses based on odds, it would be hard to miss this winner.

great hit guys and nice workup Bill!!!

Neil hope you are doing great man.

Thanks Richie. Everything is going very well. Lots of big prices this year thanks mainly to the stability of the FTL guidelines and a more consistent wagering approach. I haven't been to the Spa since the day Easy Goer broke his maiden but I will be there in spirit!!

Neil