Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)
-   Speculator (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=19)
-   -   Tampa Race 5 / Spec 150 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=1000)

RichieP 04-17-2006 11:24 AM

Tampa Race 5 / Spec 150
 
1 Attachment(s)
This race is at 8.5f dirt. Will run in about 3 hours. Still learning this program. Let's post it up and see what we see.

Gonna post the paceline screen using the f4 tab which shows the horse's historical running style ok? we will use lines where the horse shows that he has run them before.

Here is horse # 1 - line 2 shows an e/l style that has been repeated - 7f distance seems ok for todays route - shows a route somewhere and ran 2nd

line 2

RichieP 04-17-2006 11:27 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Here is horse # 2. Getting a bit long in the tooth age wise. last line is only dirt route showing - has won a few times in long career routing - let's use it

last line

RichieP 04-17-2006 11:32 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Horse # 3 - a nice solid horse - does most of it's winning at the route distances - last 3 races e/l wise are ALL tween -1 and - 5 - ok line 2 looks best according to readouts

line 2

RichieP 04-17-2006 11:36 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Horse # 5 - Since new trainer took this one from top trainer "Zladie" 4 starts back he hasnt been able to find the key - when this horse ran good he did it on the late side of graph (lines 4-5-6) - f3 tab has last line best and it is on preferred side of graph - ok

last line

RichieP 04-17-2006 11:36 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Horse 4 - the favorite according to ml - solid buck man - lines 3 and 4 are tied as best on f3 tab - f4 tab shows e/l pretty consistent - prefer DRY line 3 over WET line 2 ok? - they are EXACTLY tied on f3 tab - more comfortable using dry here

line 3

RichieP 04-17-2006 11:44 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Horse # 7 - interesting horse - 3rd start back off layoff - is FRESH compared to most in here - last race was at 7f and sharp - e/l on that has been repeated MANY times including last year at this track and DISTANCE
f3 says last line - ok - this is potential long shot horse looks like

last line

RichieP 04-17-2006 11:45 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Horse # 6 - young one routing 2 turns for the first time - last race ran evenly against FAST pace - drops a notch here - e/l's look consistent - f3 says last line - ok

Last line

RichieP 04-17-2006 11:50 AM

am noticing the posts are going in different order from how I am doing it

starting to freak me out a bit man - :eek:

let's continue

RichieP 04-17-2006 11:53 AM

1 Attachment(s)
ok and here is horse # 8 - pretty straightforward - f3 points to last line - f4 tab shows that line is fine as far as being repeated before - ok - kinda simple like

WHO named this horse? :confused:

Last Line

RichieP 04-17-2006 11:57 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Before hiding let's show a couple of screens

here is the e/l of the whole field.

" speed freaks" ;) will be salivating on the # 7 ( 6/1 ml) who also is 2nd total energy

go head! l

RichieP 04-17-2006 11:58 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Here is your Matchup screen showing beaten lenghts. Interesting to note that the 3 7f horses DOMINATE the readouts on this screen. # 7 has a strong edge early in the first 2 calls it seems.

RichieP 04-17-2006 12:03 PM

1 Attachment(s)
here is Perceptor screen. ok based on Per 1 at the top I am hiding the #'s
2-3-5. They are way outside the others performances

RichieP 04-17-2006 12:07 PM

Reducing To Five
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here are Spec 150's readouts after reducing to 5 contenders.

Screen 1 - Energy Generator

RichieP 04-17-2006 12:08 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Screen 2 - E/L Graph

RichieP 04-17-2006 12:09 PM

1 Attachment(s)
3 Screen - Incremental Match Up

RichieP 04-17-2006 12:12 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Screen 4 - Matchup Showing Computed Beaten Lenghts

RichieP 04-17-2006 12:13 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Screen 6 - Perceptor

RichieP 04-17-2006 12:16 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Screen 7 - Velocity/Deceleration

RichieP 04-17-2006 12:17 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Screen 8 - Summary

RichieP 04-17-2006 12:19 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Screen B - BL/BL with Superscreen

RichieP 04-17-2006 02:37 PM

Results
 
Winner is the # 7 at $ 10.80 - LOT of stuff going for this one.

" Speed Freaks" went nuts ! LMAO. Go head.

Power Early
Lightly Raced - Fresh horse compared to others here
Matching e/l numbers at THIS track and distance

all in all ok man.

That was our "longshot look" horse - was bet down a bit but hammered them pretty good.

We were also able to get the exacta and triple in our final "mix" so that was ok too

Place was the # 4
Show was the # 8 - Horsepants :eek: - WHO named this horse?

Rich

kiltman 04-17-2006 02:52 PM

Tmp 5
 
That a go Richie just like its supposed to happen. Hope you had the 3rd and 4th also the super in the 4th is a years worth of money.
Kiltman:)

alydar_ David 04-17-2006 03:21 PM

Based on your readouts, #6 and #7 would be the win bets the way I see it.

#7 wins at a respectable price. As they say in Boston, "Not too shabby!"

And nice step-by-step work, Richie.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 02:33 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.