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Horses Weight
Interesting article on using horses weight in handicapping.
https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-rac...se-weight-plan |
3 Attachment(s)
Hello,
This is an interesting article. Thanks for sharing. I have heard racegoers explain away wins and losses 'after' the race by citing the body weight of the horse. A recent example is from Indian racing (under the section at the end called "Bulky Problem") at https://punemirror.indiatimes.com/co...w/65329346.cms. I have not analyzed the measurable impact or determine any winning formula looking at just Body Weight related factors. Has anyone on this forum been able to crack this factor? I prepared the Body Weight data for Hong Kong races for the last three seasons (representing 2384 races) and 29,430 runners in the attached 3 spreadsheets ( had to break them up as I was running into file size limits). Here is a description of the data in the files. I would be happy to update these to include any other factor that someone may be interested in to answer this question. RACE_DATE --- Date of Race RACEREF --- Race Number. 35 signifies the 2015-16 Season, 36 =2016-2017 37=2017-18 season HORSE --- Name of the Horse DISTANCE --- Distance the horse is running in CLASS_CD --- Class RANK --- Rank in the race N_CLOSING_ODDS --- Dividend for $10 (includes the original $10 bet) NET_ODDS --- Net Odds HORSE_BODY_WEIGHT --- Body weight of the horse in today's race PREV_HORSE_BODY_WEIGHT --- Body weight of the horse in the immediately preceding race SIG_LR_CHANGE_IN_BODY_WEIGHT --- Change in Body weight from the Last race SIG_LR_PERC_CHANGE_IN_BODY_WEIGHT --- Percentage change in Body weight from the Last race AVG_HORSE_BODY_WEIGHT --- Average Body weight of the horse from prior run going back to ~ July 2015 SIG_CHANGE_IN_BW_FROM_AVG --- Change in Body weight from the above Average SIG_PERC_CHANGE_IN_BW_FROM_AVG --- Percentage change in Body weight from the above Average AVG_WINNING_BODY_WEIGHT --- Average Winning Body weight of the horse (if and when it won) from prior run going back to ~ July 2015 SIG_CHANGE_IN_BW_FROM_WIN --- Change in Body weight from the above Average Winning Body weight SIG_PERC_CHANGE_IN_BW_FROM_WIN --- Percentage change in Body weight from the above Average Winning Body weight Regards --Sohil Patel |
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