Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)
-   Matchup Discussion (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=66)
-   -   5 horse field with a tandem reversal (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11917)

The Pook 10-25-2018 02:18 PM

5 horse field with a tandem reversal
 
5 Attachment(s)
Haven't posted much for a while so I thought I would share a nice little nugget, Race 2 from Finger Lakes today.

A five horse field with a dominant local favourite in #2 Rico Capote. The nine year old gelding was 6/9 with 3 in a row and was bet down to 4-5. This time though there were two other sprinters equal to the task of keeping him honest with an opening quarter in the 22.3 range. Only one OTE had been successful against that pace. And that was Lenny #6. He had been trounced by #2 both times they had met. But this time there was more pace pressure and maybe a tandem reversal was in order. Rico never made the lead and was cooked by the half. He did fight on bravely to manage third however . Second went to the only other OTE.

It of course wasn't a slam dunk but with #2 already on 3 in a row and the matchup against him, this is what we wait for. Nice prices for win and place with the odds on runner in third.

Happy Matching,
Pook

The Pook 10-25-2018 02:20 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Result

raceman5 10-25-2018 02:32 PM

Nice!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
POOK!!!!!!!! Got to love those Tandems.


Bob

The Pook 10-25-2018 02:37 PM

1 Attachment(s)
I figured you might like this one Raceman. You being Mr Tandem!
(I forgot to post the tandems. Here they are)

Pook

raceman5 10-25-2018 04:04 PM

Yessss
 
Especially when they are reversals, you can get some great prices as you did.

Bob

Lt1 10-25-2018 04:31 PM

Nice job Pook.
Tim

Mitch44 10-25-2018 05:59 PM

Great work Pook. Glad your doing well.


Mitch44

Bill V. 10-25-2018 06:31 PM

Lenny and Squiggly
 
1 Attachment(s)
Hello Mike


Here you go with another tandem
Lenny and Squiggly

Nice hit, Good for you

Nice to hear from you again

Attachment 47412

For The Lead 10-26-2018 04:39 AM

2 Attachment(s)
The #6 Horse is hardly an "ote" horse. It is an EARLY horse.
In it's last 6 races it has been 1st or 2nd at the first call all 6 races.
In addition, it has the fastest average 1st fraction time of any horse in the race.
It is a easy procedure to judge an early horse. Just look at how the horse performs from the stretch call to the finish. It it loses ground it is an early horse. If it gains ground it is not an early horse.
Attachment 47415

In this race there were 4 early horses with the #6 being on the outside. It was highly doubtful that this horse would be able to get the lead right from the gate and cross over to the rail. In a good piece of judgement, the rider kept pace from the outside and never far back, being just 1.5 lenths behind at the first call. At the second call some of the other early horses tired from their efforts and the #6 was 3rd just a "head" behind the leader. From there it went on to win the race.
It was an unusual race for the #6 horse, but under the circumstances it was the only shot the horse had and it made the best of it.
Attachment 47416

The Pook 10-26-2018 08:55 AM

Hey guys. Thanks for looking at my race. Such a simple concise example of a matchup setting up a reverse tandem.

Hi FTL. I can see how one would call #6 an early horse. Actually as I recall RDSS listed him early. But I didn’t and switched him. The break position is something I pay much attention too when I need to. #6 is not generally right there at the break. Although he can be and was yesterday but too much speed to his inside relegated him OTE. And that was the key to winning this race. The horse IS versatile and in another situation I may have had him as an early. But not yesterday.

Pook


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:41 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.