Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Saturday Monmouth Fulcrums (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12329)

Bill V. 06-15-2019 12:49 PM

Saturday Monmouth Fulcrums
 
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Race 1 is a 5.5 turf sprint
the only qualifier would be the 7

But there are no internals so there is no measurable fulcrum in race 1

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Bill V. 06-15-2019 01:04 PM

The 7
 
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The seven tried to go wire to wire but faded badly in the stretch

The favorite, the only horse with a plus paceline at a comparable distance, surface but off over 200 days wins

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Attachment 48188

Bill V. 06-15-2019 01:09 PM

Race 2
 
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Race 2

The only qualifier is the 6 horse

In a short field, The EPR is a mild 72 EPR

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Bill V. 06-15-2019 01:36 PM

When
 
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When I saw this horse, off the big drop for Juarez at 1/9
I was correct in passing


Attachment 48191

The fulcrum 6 was never involved in a slow 115 EP

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Bill V. 06-15-2019 01:41 PM

Race 3
 
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This is the fulcrum with a 96 EPR

the 5 is close behind at 94 so the pace will be quick

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Bill V. 06-15-2019 01:54 PM

1 - 2
 
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The 2 top qualifiers run away from the pace after being close at the second
call.

The exacta 3/5 comes in but the 3 is 1/5

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Bill V. 06-15-2019 02:02 PM

Race 4
 
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Finally, it looks like something we can bet

Here is the fulcrum



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Bill V. 06-15-2019 02:28 PM

Result
 
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the 3 and 5 run a close 112.40 well ahead of the group

The 3 goes on but the 5 fades

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Bill V. 06-15-2019 02:33 PM

Race 5
 
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We are back to a turf sprint
This is the easy fulcrum with a 90 EPR and a E5

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Bill V. 06-15-2019 02:58 PM

The nine wins easy
 
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The 9 takes the 5th

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