Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - Contender / race exercise MVR Race 6 3/12

I was asked to work this race
This was race 6 from MVR on March 6th
I only want to work the race getting contenders and lines

Entries and conditions

Attachment 47824

March 12th MVR race 6

State bred claimers CL7500 N2-L These horses only have 1 win - their maiden win.

Horse 1 Gardnerella 3/1 Presser 3-year-old
She has been running against Open company but for 3-year-olds only
She was competitive in the first call in her last race at 7 furlongs

Horse 2 Running Cloud 15/1 Early 1 for 22 6-year-old
I will excuse the last line, She tried Allowance company.
This was also the first race back after a layoff
Line 2 is 92 days ago. against Cl7500N-2L but not state breds.

Horse 3 Full Pots 6/1 Sus. 4-year-old
Her last two races were against Allowance company. Line 1 was a 1 mile
Line 3 is her maiden special win. This is a Non-winner of 2 life
race so I will use line 3, a maiden win line.

Horse 4 Paisley Princess 2/1 Presser 1 for 7 3 years old
She broke her maiden in line 2 as a 2-year-old in an MC16 at GP
In her only race against older, she was competitive for 2 calls
but faded against Alwonce company

Horse 5 Pretty Penny Paddy 2o/1 EP 1 for 36.6-year-old
No recent plus pacelines on dirt 1 for 36 as a 6-year-old is a big negative

Horse 6 Let'er Eat 10/1 Sus 1 for 6. 4-year-old
No recent plus pacelines. She beat 1/2 the field in her last against
CL5000 N2-L Today's purse is 12,800 the purse for line 1 is 11,000

Horse 7 Ninanna 8/1 Early 1 for 2 6 years old
She has been off 780 days She is early so I will figure her as a pace presence

Horse 8 My Black Beauty 10/1 Presser 1 for 13 3-year-old
She just broke her maiden against MC10,000 she is 1 for 13
Since this is an N2-L.I will rate her but note her position in the 2nd (TT) panel

Here are the PP's

Attachment 47820

Attachment 47821

Attachment 47822

Attachment 47823