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-   -   Some old school factors that hold up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11924)

Bill V. 10-28-2018 04:12 AM

Some old school factors that hold up
 
5 Attachment(s)
I happen to have been reading Follow Up #14
This lesson stuck in my mind

From Follow Up 14 page 10
From Doc Q and A article

Attachment 47426

So I looked and check the APV numbers for
The 5th race at Gold Gate

APV ratings
Horse 1 > 102
Horse 2 Sratch
Horse 3 > 409
Horse 4 Scrach
Horse 5 > 111
Horse 6 > 149
Horse 7 > 87
Horse 8 > 186 20/1 off 225 days Pace line is 0 race !
Horse 9 > 137

The 3 has a wild 409 but the 8 also is very high compared to the field.
The 8 is 20/1 ML and off over 200 days
The first thing I thought of was follow up 14
Should I look closer at this horse?

Attachment 47430


Pace lines don't look too positive after doing my + (+) or O's
Look at the workouts. They are awesome, Evenly spaced and fast
5 furlongs.
With the 2nd highest APV and those works, I felt okay to use line 3
Even though it is not a + or (+) race But It is at today's track and comparable distance and surface

I am not a fan of 5-furlong races. I like to change horses with 5-furlong pacelines to 5.5 furlongs and run the race at 5.5 furlongs. I need to do this with old programs so I used KGEN and Thromation.

I entered my lines and then I ran KGEN
I used Doc's approach using KGEN.
"Any horse who is one of the top 3 on any of the Kgen graphs is a contender."

Here the top 3 from each graph
SP Raw > 1 8 9
EP Raw > 7 3 9
SP 1 > 1 8 9
EP 1 > 7 3 9
SP 2 > 1 8 9
EP 2 > 7 9 1

"Any horse in the top 3 out the kgen graphs is a contender"

So in this race
1,3,7,8,9, are in
I will scratch the rest.

Here is the Kinetic Generator

Attachment 47427


The 3 will cause the 2 adjust alarm with a big advantage in Total Energy
Every horse is Other Then Early.

Now I will run Thromation.

The first stop screen is the EXCD screen F1= #7 The DPH is #3 The EXDC says 1,9,7

The opposite screen is the SP. F1= 7 DPH= 3 SP says 1 8 9


Now Thromation. 1,8,9 The SP screen matches so I have confirmation.

Attachment 47428


I included the 3 and took out the 9 because of the 3
had so much raw total energy and high APV

I guess I mess up not betting the 8 to win. The 20/1 and off 225 days
made me just take a stab at a $2 exact 8 over 1 3

Attachment 47429

The 8 did not come up on RDSS So nothing works all the time. This time what Doc wrote and having the tools in RDSS to see clearly really hot workouts
got me past some factors that hardly ever win

Thanks
Bill

Mitch44 10-28-2018 09:43 AM

I'm not surprised Bill.


I started a thread on 6 Apr.18 called; "Are you using these tools" under Handicapping 101. Trying to get members to do research on APV and CR & CR+ Etc.. I myself prefer CR over CR+. Also gave some examples of a card from OP and their power.


These are very underrated tools that remain at the bottom of the tool box if in the tool box at all. I guess no one did the work and research. Work makes players run faster than their horses, only in the opposite direction.


Mitch44

shoeless 10-28-2018 11:53 AM

Hi Bill

Do you use RDSS to send the PP'S?

Jeff

Bill V. 10-28-2018 12:34 PM

Horses
 
1 Attachment(s)
Hi Jeff

Yes, I do/did. I used RDSS to pick my contenders/pacelines,
Ted has mad the PP"s very complete with lots of tools,
I then send my line from RDSS


RDSS makes 3 or 4 call RAC. files that work perfectly in programs
like Energy, KGEN and Entropy

Here I had RDSS make a .Rac file for Race 2 at SA - SA102802

Attachment 47446

shoeless 10-28-2018 03:07 PM

Bill

Ted really did a good job with that being able to send the pace lines
over to the older programs.

Jeff

navyvet1994 10-31-2018 07:17 AM

Where do you get these wonderful programs? would truly enjoy to try them?


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