Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   New Member Selecting Pace Lines (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8105)

Boe777 01-21-2012 05:23 PM

New Member Selecting Pace Lines
 
1 Attachment(s)
I am not new to Handicapping but new to RDSS, I started using it on Oct 31/11 and going by the book picking pace lines from the last 3 and playing $2 Exacta
from the BL/BL screen. By Dec 21 I have lost my $300 bankroll.
I then started looking a little deeper to all the pace lines and have noticed the RC race class that the horse has ran in becomes very important, here is an example:

Now if you use one of the top lines for this horse, he will not make the contender list. Now if you look down at all his races that he ran and notice the RC of each race they are all above todays race which is 89. He won at 89 and 92. Now a horse with lines like this should get the best line you can find.

Boe777 01-21-2012 05:32 PM

New Member Selecting Pace Lines
 
1 Attachment(s)
Now here is another example in the same race:
Same story, his last race was at RC 88 but the rest of them are all above 90.
If that last line is used, he will also not hit the contender list now you have to look for a better line as this horse could be a winner.

Boe777 01-21-2012 05:35 PM

New Member Selecting Pace Lines
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here is the BL/BL screen which I came up with.

Boe777 01-21-2012 05:44 PM

New Member Selecting Pace Lines
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here are the results of the race:
I only play the Exacta from the BL screen 12/1234 for $12 and since Dec 21 after I started to pay attention to the RC on the pace lines my second bankroll of $300 has tripled.
Look at the Tri and Super Tri.

RichieP 01-22-2012 07:37 AM

Good morning "BOE" and welcome.

Could you post the rest of the race pps using the same screenshots you show above please. This way folks can get an idea of what you are showing while looking at the race in total.

Very nice hit and continued success.

Boe777 01-22-2012 02:33 PM

New Member Selecting Pacelines
 
5 Attachment(s)
Hi Richie,
Yes I should have posted all the horses pace line in the first place which I will do now.I left out #1&4 horse as they are already up there. I have been reading a lot of your posts and certainly have learned a bunch from them. There is one thing that hardly anybody talks about is the RC race class of each race and which RC the horse was running in the past, this what my post is all about.
Look at horse #7, he has 4 wins and looks very good but his wins were all in lower RC races highest ones were RC 81 and todays race is RC 89. I think this is very important to look at when selecting pace lines and eliminating horses in the BL/BL.

Boe777 01-22-2012 02:53 PM

New Member Selecting Pace lines
 
5 Attachment(s)
More Pace lines
Also shown BL/BL screen before elimination.
Would appreciate very much for comments and corrections.
Sure would be nice if we could see the rest off the rdss2 window on the right


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