Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)
-   September Contest (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=110)
-   -   chuckg - September (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8654)

chuckg 09-07-2012 04:52 PM

chuckg - September
 
Short description of pace line selection: Lowest Perceptor score from Primary screen for today's distance and surface.

Sprinters going Route get two lines, one of each.

Then use Original lines to match running positions call by call.

chuckg 09-11-2012 08:43 PM

9-11 mnr 5
 
2 Attachment(s)
$100 to win on 4

Here I've selected the best route lines for each late horse. The two early horses get a route and a sprint line for which they actually ran early.

On the original screen #4 shows a move from 2nd call to stretch against the fastest pace. ( U means "uther than early")

Attachment 30162

On the segments screen the two early sprint lines fall just short of the closing #4.

Attachment 30163

chuckg 09-11-2012 09:23 PM

09-11-12 MNR 5 Results
 
2 Attachment(s)
Alright, looks like I had the right pacelines but wrong interpretation. The two early sprinters made up the exacta in order.

Attachment 30164

Maybe if I run this same sort on other route races and bet the sprinters off of the BL/BL screen...

Attachment 30165

chuckg 09-13-2012 07:08 PM

09-13 ct 5
 
2 Attachment(s)
$100 to win on 4

Here both the BL/BL and segments agree. The tandems show that 4 beats 2 whenever 2 takes the early lead.

Attachment 30184

Attachment 30183

chuckg 09-13-2012 07:09 PM

CT race 1 not 5
 
Typo, that was CT race 1 not 5

chuckg 09-13-2012 08:23 PM

09-13-12 CT 1 results
 
1 Attachment(s)
So, the race matched the segment screen. The 2 took the lead early and kept it just long enough to slow a few strides at the end for the 4 to pass. 4 was the ML favorite at 9/5 and got bet down a buck.
Attachment 30187

chuckg 09-14-2012 06:03 PM

PEN 1 Sept 14
 
1 Attachment(s)
$100 on 5 to win

Attachment 30219

chuckg 09-14-2012 06:15 PM

PEN 1 Sep 14 Results
 
2 Attachment(s)
Here I chose a late horse against 5 earlies. Paceline I selected was a power move from 4th position against today's projected pace.

Attachment 30220

I changed my pace projection after the scratch of a significant early horse. That was my mistake. Without that change 2 shows as dominant early.

Attachment 30221

chuckg 09-16-2012 04:48 PM

WO Sep 16 Race 11
 
1 Attachment(s)
WO Sep 16 Race 11

$50 on 1 to Win
$20 on 9 to win
$30 on 9 to place

Attachment 30265

chuckg 09-17-2012 11:35 AM

Good contender selection, wrong paceline selection. My three final contenders all finished
in the top four.

7
6
1
9


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:26 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.