BC Sprint - Race 7 - October 25
 

Here.

BC Sprint Analysis:

Just as a note: I will not use anything other than raw Dmr times because
variants crank up the rest of the readouts too much for my taste.

#1 - EP, won as both E and EP, can run from 1-4 position, line 1
2 - S, only such type in race, will run from 9th, line 1 or 4
3 - E only, will be first or not at all, line 3
4 - P, will run from 7th-8th in this field, (see below)
5 - EP, running from either 2nd or 3rd pos, line 8
6 - EP, can run either 1st-4th pos, line 1
7 - P, runs from 4-5th pos, lines 1-5-6
8 - P, running from 3rd or farther back, lines 1-4
9 - EP, anywhere in top three positions, line 1

First I put in only the E and EP types and looked for probable pace.

Pace: 21.7 - 44.4 from #9, line 1

As a result #3 can't be clear by stretch, #6 is slowest of EP types and #5
is fading off a 108.7. Several in this race go under 108. So I left in the
1 and 9 and then entered all the OTE types.

#4, Last year's BC winner's best time was either in the BC or race just
before - that 109 will be too slow this year - OUT

#8 can run with these early but fades in stretch, OUT

So now I'm left with the pace setter, #9 against probably #1 heading to the
stretch call. The problem for me is whether the #1 will get involved too
much with the pace, since when he ran 4th he was less than a length off the
pace. His stretch call time should cook off the #9.

I am left with In Summation and Street Boss, both of whom look to be running
in their accustomed positions during this race. In Summation won from up
close off a 54.4 stretch call at SA, so my top choice is #7, second choice
#2, with the 1 and 9 for show.

Good luck to the rest of you,

Bill

i have no problem with either the 2 & 7, which are 2 and 3 on my val 4 screen. the 1 horse is on top and what i find most intriguing is that the BAL is 3 eventhough in my prelim evaluation, i left 7 horses in the race. unfortunately the bias is against the 3 inside posts. don

BC Sprint
 

I see 5 horses E or Ep types. The front end will cook and the closers should win. I did not throw out Midnight Lute. In the past Breeders Cup races I have seen these kind of horses that won the year before and did not race or was raced lightly through the year and come out and win. Garrett Gomez won on him last year and he is entered in here for a reason. Work out in the morning have been good and Garrett won on Friday with a horse closing 6 wide.

my Picks Midnight Lute Street Boss for the win.

Good Luck

Fast

Cracking race this and it looks set up for Midnight Lute

Cracking stuff

way
 

Good work Charlie and SD

Bill