Day 16 DMR feature race Race 7 8.0 OC40N-2X
 

Welcome back
After a short break, we are back at Del Mar.
Today the feature race is race 7
1 Mile Dirt Purse $62,000 Allowance Optional Claiming 3 + F M

This looks like a good opportunity, 9 horses with a nice balance of running styles and a morning line favorite @3/1 horse 8

I dedicate this race to one of my all time favorites Glenn Campbell RIP

I know it is kind of corny but I love this one

https://youtu.be/J_Qe1U5JIt8


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Tpr
 

Phase 1

8 has an advantage on TPR the 3 sprinters have good adjustments :cool:

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Yeah great song Bill. Not a fan of country necessarily but I always liked Glenn Campbell. Love the heavy duty burns from back then.

Pook

Unknowns
 

A few unknowns here. Reduced to 2 contenders mostly because they are less unknown. There are two types of unknowns. The known unknowns and the unknown unknowns. I will stick with a couple of knowns.

5,7 @ 60/40

Pook

I like the 8 and I am going with the 1 off the turf race, big jump in TE and better 2f and 3f than most of the others.

I like the 7 going gate to finish, but will add the 1 just in case.

Mike

# 1,2,3,4 are all unknowns stretching out, I believe the 1 & 2 are the best of those.
#5 is an unknown with only two routes and won last, ability and top unknown.
# 6 is an unknown also, has proven distance but not dirt ability, is he better on turf or will he spring the upset on dirt today?
# 7 has proven dis. and surface second off a layoff with good w/o in between, a sharp improving horse at a M/L of 15-1 which is way way out of line.
# 8 has also proven dis. & surface but has run at these conditions 6 times without a win, doesn't appear to want to win and has certainly had his shots. Also probably will be the favorite who I think is vulnerable.
# 9 based on lines 5 &n 6 I'm not sure how this horse is eligible for these race conditions, also is a 7 year old and this race favors younger horses. Since his best races Lines 5 & 6 he has seemed to decline but has had 4 different trainers since. Those trainers have decent records so I'm not sure this is the same horse or how far he'll decline. A M/L of 4-1 doesn't seem worth the risk. I'd say he also is an unknown.

I see this race as 7 out of 9 unknowns or a pass. If I do bet it being I spent time on it, I have it as 7-2-1 Risk verses reward here are also a big factors and a reduced bet or fun bet.
Mitch44

My contenders are 1-7-8-5-3. With 12 min before post the 1 is 8/5 and way too low for a bet. Will make my win bets $3wp 7 and $2wp 8. Will also take a $1 ex box 1-5-7-8 tot bet $22. Good luck guys.
Tim

# Horse JockeyWeightTrainer Win $ Place $ Show $
2 Mistressofthenight R. Bejarano 117LbsR. Baltas 14.60 6.80 6.00
3 Reiki Baby S. Gonzalez 121Lbs A. Kitchingman 7.80 5.60
6 Midnight Lilly T. Pereira 119LbsH. Palma 15.00

Times in 5ths: :23 :472 1:121 1:252 1:383
Times in 100ths: :23.14 :47.41 1:12.39 1:25.52 1:38.72

Winner Information:

Winning Trainer: Baltas Richard | Owner: Beerman Family Trust, Hall, Greg and Sayjay Racing LLC

Winning Sire: Midnight Lute | Breeder: George Krikorian

Unplaced horses listed in order of finish:
Also ran: Just a Little Hope, Rosie My Rosie, That's a Lady, Utana, Allsquare and Candy Swirls

Pay offs: $1.00 Exacta (2-3) Paid: $45.60 , $2.00 Quinella (2-3) Paid: $52.40 , $.50 Trifecta (2-3-6) Paid: $761.80 , $1.00 Superfecta (2-3-6-1) Paid: $5,191.40 , $1.00 Pick 3 (1-3-2) (3 Correct) Paid: $116.20 Pick 3 Pool $37,845.00 , $2.00 Daily Double (3-2) Paid: $46.40 Daily Double Pool $26,457.00

Mitch44

Mitch, hope you had a few dollars on the duce.

Thanks for your write up and the race details.

Mike