Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   BEL Full Card 9/7/19 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12519)

rdiam 09-07-2019 01:16 PM

BEL Full Card 9/7/19
 
BEL Full Card 9/7/19:

r1: 2-7-4: 2 needs to survive a fast early pace, if falters 7 and 4 come late

r2: 8-5-3-2: 3 has a shot if Lezcano can control a fast early pace, the rest come from off the pace

r3: 1-2-5: Alvarado on the 5 has a shot if can control the pace, otherwise chalky 1 or 2

r4: 5-3-6-1: watch the board on the lone FTS 5

r5: 4-7-1-3: all but one either FTS or 2TS

r6: 3-1-5: fast early pace should fade at 6.5 on the turf, sets up for a presser to come on

r7: 4-6-7-2: 7f on the turf likely to be won by horse coming from off the pace

r8: 1-4-3: chance for a price if 7 and 8 get beat

r9: 1-6-3-5: three of eight have no US starts

r10: 9-8-1-2: three of nine have no US starts

r11: 8-1-5-9: Saez on the 1 needs to control the early pace

Good Luck

Richard

Bill V. 09-07-2019 02:01 PM

Skill
 
Good Skill/Luck Richard

raceman5 09-07-2019 04:36 PM

Bel
 
Race 6. 5-7-1

rdiam 09-08-2019 10:45 AM

Results:

11 Races

6 #1s: 2.80, 6.40, 3.50, 5.20, 7.70, 7.50
3 #2s: 3.40, 5.60, 4.10,
1 #3s: 7.30
1 complete miss (paid 4.90)

8 $1 dds: 2.55, 5.10, 7.60, 9.40, 9.90, 7.70, 7.70 7.50
6 $1 p3s: 6.80, 12.20, 27.25, 53.75, 20.50, 26.00
1 $0.50 p4s: 27.37
1 $0.50 p5s: 45.75

4 $1 ex: 25.25, 6.70, 18.60, 16.70
1 $0.50 tri: 13.37

Don't be deceived by the win percentage: not a single race paid over $10 on the win end, hard day to make $.

Richard

Mitch44 09-08-2019 01:49 PM

Exceptional work Richard. We can't help what they pay and the same way we get the winner that pays $2.80 is the way you get the one that pays $22.80.


We don't make money everyday but what is important is the procedure and soundness of the procedure.
Consistency in thought and execution is what builds success.


Mitch44

OhNoItsDoug 09-08-2019 05:35 PM

Very nice Richard!

I know what you mean on the low payouts. I won 4 out of the 6 races I played, and made $3.55 profit. But that is better than no profit!


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