KEE Full Card 7/11/20
 

KEE Full Card 7/11/20:

r1: As 6-8, Bs 4-9, Cs 1-2-5-7, Xs 3: wide open, no one wants the lead, 6 shows decent workout since last raced, quality pedigree, 9 is well meant FTS might be value play, 8 wins if runs back to last race

r2: As 6-9, Bs 5-8, Cs 2-4-7-10-13, Xs 1-3: predictable, 6 has quality trainer, quality workouts and breeding, 9 wins if runs back to last race with quality jockey switch to J Ortiz, 5 has decent pedigree and works, 8 needs the lead and is lone early in race filled with FTS

r3: As 6-9-13, Bs 1-5, Cs 2-3-10-12, Xs 4-8: chaos, lots of early speed, 6 switches to Rosario and needs the lead, 9 switches to Santana, 13 2nd time Lasix, can win if runs back to last, 5 been working well, 1 will close into fast early pace,

r4: As 4-6, Cs 1-2-3-5: chalky, 4 likely pounded by rebate syndicates, wins if runs back to last 2 races, 6 there to pick up pieces if 4 falters

r5: As 5-7, Bs 8-9, Cs 2-3-4-6, Xs 1: predictable, 5 has Chad Brown with switch to J Ortiz, 7 has quality works and will battle 9 for lead, 9 switches to Rosario and needs the lead, 8 can win if runs back to last

r6: As 1-7-8, Bs 2-9, Cs 10-13, Xs 3-4-5-11-12-14: chaos, lots of early speed, 1 can win if runs back to last and will close against fast early pace, 2 may be speed of the speed, 7 will press and close against fast early pace, 8 has hot trainer/jockey combo and quality works

r7: As 2-6, Bs 3-4, Cs 1: chalky, 2 likely pounded by rebate syndicates, needs the lead and should get it, 6 switches to Castellano and should pick up pieces if 2 falters,

r8: As 4-6, Bs 2, Cs 1-5-7-8, Xs 3: chalky, 4 likely pounded by rebate syndicates, 6 is lone speed,

r9: As 3-7, Bs 1-4-10, Cs 2-5-8-9-12-13, Xs 6-11: wide open, 7 likely to battle 1 for lead, top jock and workout pattern, 3 can win if runs back to last, hot trainer/jockey combo, 4 has been working well, 10 working well and switches to Castellano

r10: As 2-3-10, Bs 5-6, Cs 1a-4-9, Xs 1-7-8: predictable, no one wants lead, 3 been working well, 2 closes well, 10 been working well with hot trainer/jockey combo and chance to steal this on the lead, 6 first time lasix, quality jockey switch to Smith, decent works

Key: As = main win contenders, Bs = backup win contenders, Cs = marginal win contenders, Xs = toss outs

Chalky = first 2 betting choices likely to win 60%+, predictable = first 2 betting choices likely to win 50%+, wide open = first 2 betting choices likely to win below 50%, chaos = first 2 betting choices likely to win below 40%

Good luck

Richard

Thanks, Richard. :thumb:

Good luck Richard.
Tim

Recap
 

Recap:

r1: A(8)-C(1): $1 ex 23.40

r2: A(9)-A(6): $1 ex 10.40, $1 DD 9.70

r3: A(6)-B(5): $2 win $10.80, $1 ex $48.80, $1 DD 14.90, $0.50 p3 $38.85

r4: C(2)-A(6): miss, I do not bet Cs on top in a chalky race

r5: A(5)-A(7): $1 ex $7.50

r6: C(13)-C(10): miss, I already had 3 As and 2 Bs as win contenders in chaos race

r7: A(6)-A(2): $2 win $10.00, $1 ex 10.00

r8: A(4)-A(6): $1 ex 10.10, $1 DD $10.90

r9: A(3)-A(7): $1 ex $12.10, $1 DD 6.40, $0.50 p3 $21.30

r10: A(10)-X(7): $2 win $26.40, $1 DD $49.70, $0.50 p3 $67.80, $0.50 p4 $574.80

Race 10 bailed out what was turning into a losing day.

Richard

Nice comeback Richard.
Tim

Congrats Richard Race 10 turned out to be a very nice way to end a long day for many of us.
Darmar

From a profit standpoint, that was a difficult card. It was either uber chalk or some horse from outer space. Glad you caught the good price in the 10th race. I had the $96 exacta in the 3rd race and that allowed me to post a whopping $10 profit for the day. :D