Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Arlington Park Sprint Handicap (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=1518)

Houndog 08-25-2006 06:04 PM

Arlington Park Sprint Handicap
 
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A good race to handicap. Good quality and competitive. This is 8th race at Arlington for Saturday.

Houndog 08-25-2006 06:05 PM

Energy Generator
 
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Energy Generator with all entries in. Time to see who to toss.

Houndog 08-25-2006 06:07 PM

Energy Generator
 
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This is after eliminating some horses.

Houndog 08-25-2006 06:10 PM

Automatic Adjust
 
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I went back on Kelly's Landing and Gold Storm as I did not want to use the Calder lines. They were not competitive in that race anyhow.

Houndog 08-25-2006 06:12 PM

Match-Up Screens
 
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Here to me is the most important screen.

Houndog 08-25-2006 06:14 PM

Sort Screen
 
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The Sort Screen

Houndog 08-25-2006 06:15 PM

EXDC Match-Up
 
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Here is the EXDC Match-Up.

Houndog 08-25-2006 06:28 PM

Win Contenders
 
I will take Gold Storm and Kelly's Landing as my win contenders. Junior College really improved off of his last race and is lightly raced 4 year old. Although Coach Jimi Lee looks good I prefer Kelly's Landing because I do not think he need the lead.

Win #6 Kelly's Landing and #9 Gold Storm. (I want this horse to get the lead).

Use these with #3 Junior College for exotic players. If you want to go deeper in exotics #4 Level Playingfield and # 7 Rogue Scholar could be used in tri tickets since they will be coming late. I just do not see them winning because they are not in against front-running quitters. I see them to far out of it in the early stages to be considered as win contenders.

shoeless 08-25-2006 10:23 PM

Houndog,Gold fits that pattern Doc and Hat talk about horses with 0.00 muv's and not ranked 1st on paragon a being great bets.Jeff

partsnut 08-26-2006 09:26 AM

Jeff, you picked another interesting race here.
I ran the numbers and this is what I came up with.
I would go with the 8, 3 to win.
If I were to play an exacta, I would box 8, 3, 1


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