Variants
 

Jim,Will you look at the variants of the tracks the horses are running on and make adjustments?For instance today at Monmouth there is a horse Hey Chub.When he runs on a track with a variant between 7 & 13 he will cut 44 and change at the half mile.When he runs on a 14 or higher track variant he cuts a 45 and change to the half mile.Depending how fast or slow the track is will make a big difference on projecting the pace of the race especially in the east coast due to the weather changes. Jeff

example
 

If possible it will be much easier For Jim to comment
with examples

Jim here is the horse Jeff asked about

Looks like this one is going for that State added
purse money as much as they can
3 races in 8 days!!!

Bill,Thanks for putting the examole up Jeff

Jeff
I never look ate variants.
Also, take a look at the horse. He has never run a 44 and change at the half
mile. He has running against 44 and change, but has never been in the lead.

Jim

Jim,You make a good point ,I was looking at that last race where he fighting for the lead at 44.3 but that was the only time he did that.ThanksJeff