Big Ex Hit OP R5 10-18
 

Just using RDSS today and hit this ex thanks to my ls pick[a Dick Werpy angle thanks Dick] coming on late to get 2nd.
RDSS picks
TRK FAST
R1 11-3-2-6 LS5 MDNS 9FTS
R2 5-1-4-7 LS12
R3 2-5-3-6 MDNS 1 FTS
R4 3-4-8-10 MDNS
R5 7-3-5-2 LS6
R6 10-5-4-1 MDNS 3FTS
R7 5-11-9-2
R8 10-8-13-4 LS12
R9 4-1-5-7
R10 7-3-5-8
GOOD LUCK
TIM
Winning Ticket
Jan 18 2:18;33;PM Complete Oaklawn Park 5 Exacta $2.00 3,5,7/2,3,5,6,7 $24.00 $393.20 $369.20
Winning Combo
5[$28.80] 6[$15.30]
Screen Shots
Attachment 53842

Attachment 53843
The winner tiered #4BL/BL % #5RX, the place horse tiered #8 on both screens ranking #4 VDC & CSR ,#1LPR#2TT
HID[a primary winning factor at dist] #1TSF3 TPP. Just a reminder folks that ypu need to look past the prime contenders to the non=contenders because it is the place to locate RMATH LSPS & other lsps possible plays.

Good score Tim.

You didn't have #8 or #11 on top or bottom of your ticket.

You downgraded both of them in your analysis?

Note: Not asking for the how.


Mike:)

Thanks Mike. I down graded both re my win model for OP. The 8 was too late and the 11 was way too late.
Tim

OMG that's a wild and crazy guy hitting a big one like this.
Congrats and drop a little more in the envelope today to spread the love. LOL
Darryl

Thanks Darryl. Will do.
Tim

Nice hit, Tim! Another angle to look at at Oaklawn is the Pace of the Race the horse came out of. 90% of the time the Win at OP and 92% the Place horses are in the top 5 POR TE and F3 as indicated below by the red arrows in the screen shot I took out of yours above. Great Handicap Tim!

Attachment 53844

Thanks Dick.& thanks for sharing this info. Hat always called this place one of the toughest to cap. It certainly drives me nuts.
Tim

That's great ! By swapping #8 and #11 together for the # 6 (Place horse),

you bet against just over half of the win pool you saw as non-contenders.

Ahhhhh, I dream of seeing every event I handicap as having

50% of the pool = dead money. :D

Mike

Mike that is the beauty of keeping models. It gives you the ability to up or down grade horses and catch some good hits.
Tim

Tim
Nice hit...I know what you mean that OP is hard to handicap.
The fields are so large it hard to know where to start.
Good Job..
Thanks for sharing.
Don