Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)
-   Races of Interest (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=76)
-   -   A Werpy/rmath LSP Keys Good Ex PARX R6 9-30 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=17894)

Lt1 09-30-2026 03:52 PM

A Werpy/rmath LSP Keys Good Ex PARX R6 9-30
 
3 Attachment(s)
A Werpy/RMATH LSP keyed this ex hit Look at this horses' numbers and tell me how in the world it wasn't in the 5 not to mention it was also a RMATH key horse. My picks.
TRK FAST
R1 38726 LS5
R2 24361
R3 42365 LS7
R4 84125 LS7
R5 12649
R6 81071 LS9
R7 25631
R8 15278 LS4
R9 72645
GOOD LUCK
Tim
Winning Ticket
SEP 30 2:56:17 PM Complete Parx Racing 6 Exacta $2.00 9/1,2,7.8,10 $10.00 $126.20 $116.20
Winning Combo
9[$22.00] 8[3.00]
Screen Shots
Attachment 56077

Attachment 56078

Attachment 56079
LOOK AT the 9s NUMBERS. WOW
Tim

darmar 09-30-2026 05:09 PM

Great work on this one Tim. In addition to these readout it's more amazing that the 9 started out with a 6/1morning line and ended up at 9/1 at post time to miss the best win price of the day by ten cents.
Darryl

jpatierno 09-30-2026 06:30 PM

2 Attachment(s)
no way the 9 was a non contender. here's energy

Lt1 09-30-2026 07:24 PM

Hi JP. My contender selection is always the top5 ranked PL & BPP horses. The winner is there over 90% of the time thus making the 9 a non contender for me. Also the tracks handicapper and trk announcer did not have it either and that was a surprise to me.
Tim

Lt1 09-30-2026 07:26 PM

Thanks Darryl.
Tim

dadams6357 10-01-2026 12:21 AM

Tim
Beautiful example of the DWLS...
Nice hit Tim.
Thanks
Don

Lt1 10-01-2026 12:26 AM

Thanks Don. I just hope folks are seeing these LSP when they are capping.
Tim

Jimmy R 10-01-2026 10:01 AM

Tim, this is a really interesting one. Since the 9 wasn't in your normal top-5 PL/BPP contenders but was both a Werpy/RMATH LSP and an RMATH key horse, how do you handle that situation before the race?

Does a strong LSP/key horse automatically get reconsidered as a win/exacta key even though it failed your normal contender screen, or was there something else in the 9's RDSS readouts that made you comfortable keying it on top?

I'm trying to understand exactly when the LSP overrides the normal contender cut versus when it is just an exotic inclusion.

Thanks,
Jimmy

Lt1 10-01-2026 11:35 AM

Hi Jimmy. First the LSPS never over ride the true contenders, The only question for me is whether or not they are worth betting or not. For me a double LSP like this is an automatic play payoffs being the final factor of which combos and type of bet[dd or ex] to make. It really is just a call I am use to making based on bankroll & confidence level of having done it before,
Tom


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:19 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.