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Off Track Blues
I liked 2 horses yesyerday at Charles Town and didnt play either as I thought they did not like the slop according to their off track records.Needless to say both won paying 10.00 and 15.00.I would like to get opinions on how others on board handle the off tracks.This is just another example of why I will never be a consistant winner.Jeff
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Jeff,
I have finally quit looking at track conditions and how they run on off tracks. My results have been much better with less consideration and confusion. Good luck, Bud |
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Total Energy
Hello Jeff
to answer your question 2 ways 1. Using off lines to pick contenders 2. What happens if todays track is off #1 If I am picking lines and if its a lightly raced horse I will just avoid the horse and check the ML odds /betting odds sort of like a FTS. If there are more than one of these I pass For horses with many fast surface lines I check the total energy for these lines and see if the off track lines are in line I also check the field size and the finish position Some times on off tracks there are many scratches and a horse might run 3rd in a 4 horse race trailing all the way but running fast enough to stay close, so If the Total energy or speed rating is very high compaired to the fast lines I wont use it # 2 Track is off Pass and look for a fast track thanks you simocasting:) |
With modern track maintenace most "off" tracks aren't that far off. They usually seal the track before a rain and it takes a petty major storm to seriously mess with the base. I do discount very fast performances on a sloppy track, but there are too many reasons for a horse to throw a bad performance to attribute it to not liking off tracks.
Like Bill, if it's raining today, I look at another track. If I'm at the track, I hang out in the bar and risk very small money, usually ignoring the off track, except for a slightly increased preference for front runners. dick... |
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