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-   -   Oaks/Derby Double (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=2313)

RichieP 05-03-2007 10:02 PM

Oaks/Derby Double
 
Oaks - # 13 Mistical Plan - Early runner who does not need the lead to win. Fast.

Kentucky Derby - # 20 Great Hunter - Other than early monster who is used to getting knocked and bumped around. Fast.

Richie:)

RAMON201 05-03-2007 10:37 PM

Amazing Im taking a hard look at both of them.

JimG 05-03-2007 11:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RichieP (Post 18562)
Oaks - # 13 Mistical Plan - Early runner who does not need the lead to win. Fast.

Kentucky Derby - # 20 Great Hunter - Other than early monster who is used to getting knocked and bumped around. Fast.

Richie:)

That'll pay more than a couple of bucks if you knock that combo down. :eek:

I got Pizzola's rant today in the email and he likes Great Hunter as well.

admin 05-04-2007 01:46 AM

first half
 
1 Attachment(s)
Heres for the little ladys

I will make win bets on # 3 and 13 WPS
I will work the derby later. This is for the Oaks

Strangly I have never seen this race!!!!

RichieP 05-04-2007 07:09 PM

Oaks Result
 
DD is dead. Ticket ripped up.

13 needed the lead to win - fought the 7 and both got killed off.

Churchill Downs - Race 10
# Win Place Show
11 $5.00 $3.80 $2.80
4 . $5.20 $3.60
3 . . $3.60
Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | ALL
Wager-Type Winning Numbers Paid
$2 Exacta 11-4 $30.00
$2 Trifecta 11-4-3 $131.00
$1 Trifecta Box $65.50
$2 Quad/Superfecta 11-4-3-1 $1830.60

Richie

froggy 05-04-2007 09:35 PM

Imagine that.
One of the top two program picks wins again.

Richie,
Isn't this the same program that you used to use to support youself.
Do I see a tri in the top four. 5/1 odds on the tri box.

Bill,
Good job of getting all of the contenders in the top four.

Froggy

Ps.
I might have bet against the 11 too.

RichieP 05-04-2007 09:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by froggy (Post 18615)
Richie,
Isn't this the same program that you used to use to support youself.
Froggy

Yes it is Froggy.
Richie

froggy 05-04-2007 10:03 PM

Richie,

From your experience just what are the chances that the winner is going to be in the top two?

Froggy

RichieP 05-04-2007 11:01 PM

The Bill Varone "Tick pad"
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by froggy (Post 18621)
Richie,

From your experience just what are the chances that the winner is going to be in the top two?

Froggy

To be honest I couldn't tell you Froggy. Those records are long gone and it's been over a year since I stopped using it.

I can say that my most PROFITABLE tier on bl/bl using the software for YEARS was tier THREE.

I NEVER bet off models/corrolaries with any success. I used bl/bl and the e/l graph to find winning patterns as well as negative ones(especially good with favs). I value bet as others here have also described and did not look for the "best horse" Froggy.

Bill made these little pads we called "tick pads" and we used them for YEARS when we hooked up at the Meadowlands. It consisted of THREE things

1) Bl/bl rank
2) V/dc rank
3) E/l graph

we would hide to top 5 line score/tot energy and those 5 would be entered along with the above ifo on the tick pad for each race. It was a "sheet" for each race that when the race ended we just tossed away! Serious.

Bill had the idea for them and from such simplicity came VERY good results.
Richie

froggy 05-05-2007 01:17 AM

Richie,

Good Idea
I think I shall do something similar.
I can't seem to find any profitable parallel between winning and the corollaries

Thanks,

Froggy


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