Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)
-   Selections (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=12)
-   -   Hoosier Park 09/19 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=2896)

Houndog 09-19-2007 01:59 PM

Hoosier Park 09/19
 
3 Attachment(s)
Here we have the Midwest version of Charlestown. Unlike Jeff I am not as knowledgeable about this track as he is with CT. The one thing Hoosier Park and me have in common is that we are both situated in Indiana. Nevertheless I will try to give it my best shot.

Here are races 1-2-3 just showing the TPR numbers.

Race 1 I would go with # 8 Favorite Lily Ann and to a lesser extent #5 O So Magic

Race 2 #6 Chateu is a huge dropper from AP. This race is a 4k claimer and this horse was competing in 25K claimer at AP just 3 months ago. Low odds expected with ths guy.I'll go with #7 Whozoominwho and #8 Tour With Jo.

Race 3 I'll go with #2 Moonshine Milly.

Houndog 09-19-2007 02:25 PM

Races 4 and 5 Hoosier
 
4 Attachment(s)
Here are 3 screenshots for race 4 and just the TPR screen for race #5.
Race #4 Number 1 Perfect Sand is another big dropper from AP. Was competing at 25K, dropped to 18K, dropped to 14K, dropped to 7.5K (was claimed) and is now running here for 4k after just being claimed. I will use #5 Foxtrot Oscar and #10 There's Our Money as my win contenders.

Race 5 Maiden Race . Go with #5 Mortensen and to a much lesser extent #2 Blue Cheese.

Houndog 09-19-2007 02:42 PM

Hoosier Park Race #6
 
1 Attachment(s)
THis race looks to me a good betting race. It has a liitle bit of everthing. Shippers, turf to dirt switches, alot of front running speed, and in my opinion a vulnerable favorite according to the morning line.

Here are the entries and conditions.

Houndog 09-19-2007 02:45 PM

Race 6 Screenshots
 
3 Attachment(s)
I entered 2 lines for #1 by naming them somewhat differently. Here are the Syn4 screenshots. Incidentally I entered some turf lines for a couple of the horses which you may disagree with.

Houndog 09-19-2007 02:55 PM

Race 6 Analysis
 
I expect this race to be highly contested in the early stages of the race. I am looking at the second call bl screen in Syn4 and 4 horses are very close. Looking at the PP's several of these horses do not win when they are headed by another horse.

I don't think I have a dominant front-runner in this race which leads me to look at my more sustained type horses. I will be looking at the LPR number in this case. I would use #1 Burke's Sister and to a lesser extent #2 Linda's Lace as my win contenders. Also I might add #3 She's A Red Devil looks strong here.

I would like to hook these 3 along with #8 Pennroyal in my exotic bets as it keeps showing up on my readouts.

Houndog 09-19-2007 04:15 PM

Hoosier 7-8-9
 
3 Attachment(s)
No screenshots for races 7 and 8

Race #7 # 1 Mancin's Hope

Race #8 # 9 Princess Moro

Race #9 # 8 Direct Snap and #5 Thought I Could

Forego 09-19-2007 04:56 PM

6th race
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Houndog (Post 23968)
I expect this race to be highly contested in the early stages of the race. I am looking at the second call bl screen in Syn4 and 4 horses are very close. Looking at the PP's several of these horses do not win when they are headed by another horse.

I don't think I have a dominant front-runner in this race which leads me to look at my more sustained type horses. I will be looking at the LPR number in this case. I would use #1 Burke's Sister and to a lesser extent #2 Linda's Lace as my win contenders. Also I might add #3 She's A Red Devil looks strong here.

I would like to hook these 3 along with #8 Pennroyal in my exotic bets as it keeps showing up on my readouts.

hi houndog.

i worked this 6th race and here is what i see. the 5 might have a chance here at a price (10/1 ml). i used line 4 for him as that last line looks like a trouble line.

the 8 i wound up using line 8 which puts him in a kind of tough spot. if i use that more recent line from river downs he projects top of the heap. have trouble using that one as he had clear lead and that is tough to see happening with this bunch.

thank you for posting up and wishing you the best of luck and skill
Francis

partsnut 09-19-2007 05:07 PM

Passing The Buck ???
 
Mike, take a look at race -6

Either my eyes are failing me or I'm getting senile but
I seem to be missing a horse on the entries.
Did BRIS leave it out or did you put it in?
It's no small task to miss a horse.:D

Houndog 09-19-2007 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by partsnut (Post 23972)
Mike, take a look at race -6

Either my eyes are failing me or I'm getting senile but
I seem to be missing a horse on the entries.
Did BRIS leave it out or did you put it in?
It's no small task to miss a horse.:D

No you are fine. I wanted to enter 2 lines in Syn4 for #1 Burke's Sister so I named them differently. Buck is what I used to rename this horse. I wanted to see 2 lines on this horse.

Houndog 09-19-2007 05:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Forego (Post 23971)
hi houndog.

i worked this 6th race and here is what i see. the 5 might have a chance here at a price (10/1 ml). i used line 4 for him as that last line looks like a trouble line.

the 8 i wound up using line 8 which puts him in a kind of tough spot. if i use that more recent line from river downs he projects top of the heap. have trouble using that one as he had clear lead and that is tough to see happening with this bunch.

thank you for posting up and wishing you the best of luck and skill
Francis

Forego, it's been awhile since I posted some races so I thought I would give Hoosier Park a try. Regardless of what happens I disagree with the Morning Line Favorite #10 in this race to win. Thanks for posting your workout of the race also. It is always good to see another handicapper's insights in a race.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:45 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.