Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)

- RDSS (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=38)

- - Tpr vs Bl/Bl (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=3040)

RichieP

10-28-2007 10:45 AM

Tpr vs Bl/Bl

Would any users who worked the Breeder's Cup races be willing to run a comparison between Tpr and Bl/Bl winners in top 3?

admin

10-28-2007 12:19 PM

Tpr

Hi Rich

I only worked 3 races but maybe i can help you out with these

The races I worked were friday #10
and Saturday the turf and the classic

Code:

This is Friday race 10

BLBL    TPR

1         1        

3         3

6         6

8         5

5         8



the winner was # 8 so blbl did a little better





This is the turf



BLBL          TPR

English       English

Red           Red

Better       Better

Grand        Grand

Shamd       Sham



No differance with my lines

English is the winner



The Classic



BLBL         TPR

Lawyer      Lawyer

Diamond    Diamond

AnyGiv      AnyGiv

Awsome    Curlin

Curlin        Awsome



Curlin does better on TPR

Hope this helps you
Rich

Turbulator

10-28-2007 02:42 PM

4 Attachment(s)

Funny you should ask. I was looking at the same thing. There were virtually no differences (some in the lower tiers) for the dirt races. The biggest differences were in the turf races.

Races 1&2.

Turbulator

10-28-2007 02:43 PM

4 Attachment(s)

Races 3&6. I didn't do 4&5, the two-year-old races.

Turbulator

10-28-2007 02:45 PM

4 Attachment(s)

Races 7&8.

Turbulator

10-28-2007 02:48 PM

4 Attachment(s)

Races 9&10.

Turbulator

10-28-2007 02:49 PM

2 Attachment(s)

Race 11.

Turbulator

10-28-2007 02:55 PM

2 Attachment(s)

For some reason race # 1 came out backwards. This is right.

RichieP

10-28-2007 03:28 PM

Bill and Steve,
Thank you. I really appreciate the feedback man. Here is a little something for you :)
http://youtube.com/watch?v=tsFKbKk22SU
Richie

Bill Lyster

10-28-2007 07:16 PM

Richie:

Seeing some of the other results I included a bit more info and I think its of interest.

Dist BL Ep-Lp-TPR(Rank)
6f 2 1-4-2
6f 1 2-2-1
8d 3 5-1-5
8.5d 4 1-5-4
8.5d 5 1-5-1
9d 1 3-1-1
10d 2 3-4-3
8t 3 1-4-1
8t 3 4-2-3
11t 1 4-2-1
12t 3 4-1-4

Selection notes: I capped all dirt lines using matchup and turf races by computer alone. Any top five energy horse with a 1 rank anywhere in the TPR array was very dangerous 9/11 won. Only the turf mile and classic winners failed this test. Also within the context of the running styles and the lines and other contenders picked, a 1 rank, even if it appeared to violate visual running style, was still to be respected.

bill

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