Good day @ Belmont
 

The Frog had a hopping good day at Belmont

Race 1) lost
Race 2) $8.90
Race 3) $6.70 x1.5 =$10.05
Race 4) lost
Race 5) $17.20
Race 6) $9.50 x1.5 = $14.25
Race 7) $39.80
Race 8) lost
Race 9) $15.80x1.5 = $23.80

$45 invested.
$114 returned.

good results Frog..

I screwed up in the 7TH, took thee #9 and didn't realize that the 2 beat him in a tandem race..I had lots of 2nd's and 3rd's

didu use rdss or match ups?

Good work guys on a nice card!

I got lucky and caught that tandem finish on the #2 in the 7th. That was the good.

The bad is I ****ed up a HUGE pick 3 by betting off the wrong sheet of paper like a jerk off man. I can't believe what the **** I did.

Racing is good right now with plenty of FULL fields available by multi tracking.

Here are my bets so far today/tonight. The results are good so far (still looking at Mnr,Cby,Ind,Penn,Hol) but if you notice (Fwiw) I am playing larger field races of at LEAST 7 runners.

Whether right or wrong that has been my game plan for over 2 weeks now.
NO maidens
NO races with less than 7 betting entries
NO races where there is not at LEAST one clearly Early POSITIONALLY running horse at TODAY'S distance structure (surface difference is ok right now)

Knock em dead :)

6/13:

1) Belmont Race 7:
13 - 10/1
2 - 17/1 - Win $39.80

2) Belmont Race 8:
8 - 19/1
3 - 4/1

3) Penn Race 3:
3 - 20/1 - Win $51.00
8 - 7/2

4) Belmont Race 9:
11 - 10/1
5 - 7/2

5) Woodbine Race 6:
1 - 5/1 - Win $12.10
2 - 20/1

6) Woodbine Race 8:
3 - 6/1
10 - 5/1

7) Monmouth Race 6:
2 - 5/1
6 - 10/1

Mike,

I used RDSS today

Froggy

Mike,

Here are the BL/BL pages that I used to bet from.
I just picked the top two regardless of the odds

Here are the rest.
When you say match up I don't really know how to do the match up.
I just look for the pace setter and see who can win or get close to the finish line in a race with those or better fractions.
I am becoming a firm believer that horses run in their comfort zone.
If they can run a better time to the second call they don't seem too if they don't have to.

For what its worth:

The moment I saw the head on shot of the start of the Belmont and Big Brown was jerking his head around fighting the jockey I knew in my heart that he was a loser.
He is used to being on the outside with lots of room around him and I felt that he felt trapped in a tight spot and was using up his energy in tension and pressure to try to get out of his predicament.
A relaxed horse can do wonders.

Watch John Henry's races and you can see a horse that doesn't mind mixing it up with the other horses.

Big Brown I think was intimidated being in close quarters

Froggy

Mike,

As a post script I'd like to add that usually I put in every horse in the race before I make any eliminations.
I use Preceptor for selection of one of the last three usable pace lines not the speed rating or class rating like other folks.
I find that the program class ratings especially in turf and maiden races to be deceptive. I like to do my own and that way I can't blame any one else if I'm wrong.
After eliminating those that can't run with the projected second call time to a max of 4 tenths slower, I eliminate all balance numbers over 8 and all single digit BL scores.

Froggy

Froogy: Good to see it - keep it going.