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alydar_ David 10-16-2005 11:11 AM

WO -- Sunday, October 16
 
Can we hit gold two Sundays in a row in Canada? Let's see.

These are my Fair Odds lines for WO today. They are for horses I consider contenders. The pretenders are not listed. Note, I'm making a couple of assumptions for these odds to be accurate.
  • The track is Fast & Firm
  • There will be no scratches (which is ridiculous as there are some huge fields)
So, temper these with judgment.

1st: pass

2nd:
#3 9/5
#6 5/2
#5 7/2
#4 6-1

3rd:
#4 2-1
#3 3-1
#2 4-1
#1 6-1

4th: pass

5th:
#12 4-1
#3 5-1
#10 6-1

6th:
#7 5/2
#2 4-1
#9 6-1

7th:
#7 5/2
#5 5-1
#6 6-1

8th:
#13 3-1
#5 4-1
#6 6-1

9th:
#5 5/2
#2b 7/2
#1a 6-1

10th:
#6 5/2
#3 6-1

alydar_ David 10-16-2005 01:53 PM

An example of how it works in real time

Original Fair Odds
3rd:
#4 2-1
#3 3-1
#2 4-1
#1 6-1

In the third race #3 is scratched.

The New Line is precisely as follows:
#4 1.4 to 1
#2 3.1 to 1
#1 4.7 to 1

At four minutes to post #4 is 4-1 on the toteboard.
# 2 is 2.5 to 1 = underlay = no bet
#1 is 1.8 to 1 = underlay = no bet

shoeless 10-16-2005 02:04 PM

David good luck. Jeff

alydar_ David 10-16-2005 06:58 PM

Thanks, Jeff. Maybe we need you to say that more often! Hehe.

It was a good day. The cold Pick3 paying $186 wasn't hard to take either! :>)

2nd race - Woodbine - October 16, 2005
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
5 Legendary Dancer 5.40 2.80 2.60
3 Xtra Smoke * 3.30 2.30
6 Charada * * 2.50
$2 Triactor 5-3-6 36.90 $2 Daily Double 1-5 58.90 $2 Exactor 5-3 21.40



3rd race - Woodbine - October 16, 2005
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
1 Flat Rock 7.40 3.80 2.50
2 Randy Jan * 2.80 2.20
4 Bold Finish * * 2.60
$2 Triactor 1-2-4 42.50 $2 Exactor 1-2 17.20 $1 Pick 3 1-5-1 (3 correct) 145.70




5th race - Woodbine - October 16, 2005
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
12 Send the Facts 15.30 6.30 5.40
6 Ballari * 6.30 5.00
13 Canadian Star * * 6.70
$2 Triactor 12-6-13 1,241.90 $2 Exactor 12-6 86.90 $1 Superfecta 12-6-13-14 8,945.40 $1 Pick 3 1-5-12 (3 correct) 76.25



6th race - Woodbine - October 16, 2005
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
7 Carrington 10.00 5.30 4.40
6 Truth Serum * 6.60 5.80
9 Windward Passage * * 7.60
$2 Triactor 7-6-9 909.20 $2 Exactor 7-6 74.70



7th race - Woodbine - October 16, 2005
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
7 Hoper 5.10 3.50 3.20
10 Mayarro * 16.70 9.30
4 Rushing Rose * * 4.40
$2 Triactor 7-10-4 867.10 $2 Exactor 7-10 110.60 $1 Pick 3 12-7-7 (3 correct) 93.00 $1 Win Four 5-12-7-3/7 (4 correct) 471.25



8th race - Woodbine - October 16, 2005
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
7 Pyramid Park 108.40 45.00 20.90
6 River Heights * 10.20 6.60
13 French Beret * * 4.80
$2 Triactor 7-6-13 9,293.00 $2 Exactor 7-6 1,014.20 $1 Superfecta 7-6-13-12 165,819.45 $1 Pick 3 7-7-7 (3 correct) 619.25 $1 Pick 7 5-1-5-12-7-3/7-7 (5 correct) 40.25



9th race - Woodbine - October 16, 2005
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
10 Sky Conqueror 10.40 6.20 4.10
8 Pleasant Hall * 12.80 7.90
2 Go to the Sun * * 5.50
$2 Triactor 10-8-2 1,126.00 $2 Exactor 10-8 151.20 $1 Pick 3 7-7-10 (3 correct) 20.15



10th race - Woodbine - October 16, 2005
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
11 Pants N Kisses 23.50 9.80 6.30
5 Easy Cruiser * 5.00 5.50
12 Corporal Cobra * * 10.20
$2 Triactor 11-5-12 4,240.80 $2 Daily Double 10-11 196.30 $2 Exactor 11-5 162.40 $1 Superfecta 11-5-12-1 8,869.75 $1 Pick 3 7-10-11 (2 correct) 84.05


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