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-   -   Turf Sunday (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4726)

RichieP 11-02-2008 08:05 AM

Turf Sunday
 
2 Attachment(s)
Interesting race 6 today at Aqueduct @ 8.5f on the turf.

I used default settings (50v/spec160) and a best of last 3 comparable line choice. Went to line 4 when intervening line was out of whack either class/surface/etc blah blah

Here is the whole race shown from the Segments screen and the Bl/Bl screen. Interesting is the 2 heavy morning line favorites do NOT make the top 3.

RichieP 11-02-2008 08:07 AM

2 Attachment(s)
Reduced to top 5 Pls and total energy. I won't be around to update after scratches if any.

Have a great day! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y2hkKDDy5wA
Richie

alydar_ David 11-02-2008 01:03 PM

This is an interesting race.

Using my new homemade program which assigns a power number for each race, I came up with only three serious contenders. Every race listed is in chronological order, with the most recent race on the top.

This is the first race I've shown with this program. So take it with a large grain of salt. I'm pretty much done with the tweaking though.

The only adjustments would be weight changes today. And that wouldn't make much difference unless it was an extra five pounds, which would equate to a full point penalty for overweight.

#1 Miss Blarney Stone at 12-1
78 (most recent)
75 (second race back)
75 (third race back)
75 This was run after a seven month layoff. Note the horse didn't bounce. She ran a 75 the next out. Then 75 again. That's very strong.

#2 Seasons Wise at 20-1
75
78
75
76
79
Not only is she fast enough to win, she's got good works too. She's also the projected pace leader at the second call.

#5 Boxitup at 5/2
76
77
77
77
75
77
She's the Morning Line Favorite. Certainly nothing wrong with her, and I'd use her for multiple race bets. But the value clearly lies with #1 and #2.

alydar_ David 11-02-2008 01:06 PM

Oops. I just realized this is an RDSS thread. My bad.

:::red cheeks:::

tfm 11-02-2008 01:40 PM

Using my eyes, and having actually seen the races of these horses, I've been waiting for Boxitup for a while (was pissed when the previous race she was entered in was taken off the turf at BEL). Doubt she'll be as low as the morning line.

Bill V. 11-02-2008 04:00 PM

Tier 3
 
Nice Rich
winner is right there ranked 3rd

GS
Bill

RichieP 11-02-2008 04:02 PM

3 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichieP (Post 42534)
Interesting race 6 today at Aqueduct @ 8.5f on the turf.

I used default settings (50v/spec160) and a best of last 3 comparable line choice. Went to line 4 when intervening line was out of whack either class/surface/etc blah blah

Here is the whole race shown from the Segments screen and the Bl/Bl screen. Interesting is the 2 heavy morning line favorites do NOT make the top 3.

Good result as the #4 Cordelain gets the win at very nice odds. Getting rid of the #11 who scratched and keeping same lines on others here is what is seen :)

The race was right out of a followup man. Nothing fancy and ALL 2 horse wagercappers nail the beautiful win.



:4:

RichieP 11-02-2008 04:03 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 42563)
Nice Rich
winner is right there ranked 3rd

GS
Bill

and after we scratch the #11 look what we have Mr. Binder :)

Bill V. 11-02-2008 04:19 PM

Nice
 
Hey The 4 horse did me good all day

LOL Thanks Dabau

Not Today !!

Bill


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