Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   COLD and BOLD (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4803)

Tim Y 11-21-2008 02:51 PM

COLD and BOLD
 
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The last few weeks of the Woodbine meeting are famous for the same thing: the early winners win like crazy.The second today was one amongst many with improving early speed taking home the prize.

Tim Y 11-21-2008 03:18 PM

5th maiden turfer
 
2(short odds but improving), 12 and a long long long shot 10

Tim Y 11-21-2008 03:46 PM

DAMAGED GOODS Papi Chullo in the 6th race at Aqu


Woof and at 2/1 only hope is to run away and hide on the front but with an e/l almost 19, that is hard to take on the AQU main track. 1,3 look a bit better

damaged was good enough today!

Tim Y 11-21-2008 03:57 PM

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2nd call maidens in a big field in Woodbine's 5th

2nd is okay in that bulky field but the odds were a pass

Tim Y 11-21-2008 04:14 PM

Paved Highway but green
 
track is playing kindly to speed on the lawn as I'll bet it is as hard as a highway That elevates the 2 in the 7th over the logical 8 and outsider 7.........No odds however other than the 7 who appears a one race wonder.


glad I talked my way out of this one too

Tim Y 11-21-2008 04:27 PM

not so cold and bold in Toronto when the track is power harrowed. A good web site tells you the track maintenance schedule.
http://www.woodbineentertainment.com...Conditions.asp

Tim Y 11-21-2008 04:46 PM

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let's see how 2nd call maiden do in NEW YORK
three out of the top four.....

Tim Y 11-21-2008 05:19 PM

Turf is screwy in the cold giving 5 a better shot than the deep closers 7 9 in the AQU nightcap


I seem to recall that the records of late fall grass winners were RANDOM......and that seems to hold true again.

Tim Y 11-21-2008 05:39 PM

If you ever get the chance, there is a wonderful FRONTLINE show (PBS) called The Other Side of the Track and Andy Beyer reports on one of the days, (LIKE WE ALL HAVE NOW AND AGAIN) with the comment: "Well chalk it up to the vagueness of the turf."

Point of it is not to take it too seriously as there are more shots tomorrow


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