Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Monday, February 16, 2009 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=5148)

clore1030 02-16-2009 12:09 PM

Monday, February 16, 2009
 
Weird for me to be playing on a Monday.
AQU
First race

Try as I might, I find it had to get past the favorite, #3, in the opener.

My knocks are that it was claimed for 30K last out and sat out the "in jail" period, returning at the very same asking price. It's also raced rather infrequently lately, but has been first or a close-up second in 5 of the 9 races showing.

The other knock is the odds, so this one may just be a mental bet.

raceman5 02-16-2009 12:14 PM

Aqu.
 
Double

3.4/1.7.4


Bob

Vinnie 02-16-2009 12:22 PM

Hey folks! How's it going?

AQU R1-

The 3 is real tough, but, I will go with the 3,5 here to win. Trillian #5 got bumped at the break last time out and still rushed up and was ridden out to win. Going for a nice price!

clore1030 02-16-2009 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by raceman5 (Post 48365)
Double

3.4/1.7.4


Bob

The 4 looked good to me, but I am hesitant as I think it might want more ground. But it made a monstrous move last out after a three month vacation and I noted it at the time.

I would take the 3 at 2/1, but it's 8/5 now and likely to go lower.

Good luck!

Tim Y 02-16-2009 12:26 PM

Chalk rules the opener at the Big A but :5: could run a bit

Tim Y 02-16-2009 12:37 PM

Strange but the inner bias has returned to somewhere near normal.


Don't know what made it go away other than the new maintenance crew.

Fine by me
that was a pleasant surprise


1st race - Aqueduct - February 16, 2009
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
5 Trillian 21.00 7.40 4.50
3 Chit Chat Cat 2.90 2.40
1 I'llthinkofsumthin 5.30

$2 Exacta 5-3 52.50
$2 Trifecta 5-3-1 200.50

Tim Y 02-16-2009 12:42 PM

Word to the wise: DON'T USE PHILLY LINES FOR THIS RACE. I know it is tempting, i.e. on the Dutrow horses, but BEWARE

Vinnie 02-16-2009 12:46 PM

AQU R2- I like the 1,6 to Win right here. I hope that the odds stay decent.

raceman5 02-16-2009 12:47 PM

Great!!!!!! hit Vin.

raceman5 02-16-2009 12:50 PM

Aqu p4.

R2. 4.7.1

r3. 4.2.1a

r4 4.3.6

r5 3.1


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