Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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RichieP 07-22-2009 07:52 AM

Del Mar Free Online Contest
 
Del Mar opens today/ contest starts today
http://www.dmtc.com/contest/

pktruckdriver 07-22-2009 01:56 PM

I like the #9 here , but he is the M/L fav unfortunately

Value plays would be the #8 and #11,

I see the 10 as only true early speed , but giving it up late the #9 and #8

My thoughts

Patrick

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyYZUhSeRYc

pktruckdriver 07-22-2009 02:18 PM

Scratch the 11 and replace with the 4

I like the #9 here , but he is the M/L fav unfortunately

Value plays would be the #8 and #4,

I see the 10, 4, and 8 as only true early speed , but giving it up late the #9

My thoughts

Patrick

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyYZUhSeRYc

pktruckdriver 07-22-2009 03:00 PM

4 Attachment(s)
I would like to know if there is play here for the #5, he blows away everyone in the segement screen, and is 3rd in BL/BL screen and the TPR screen is off the charts too, look at that blue line, maxed out, is this stuff that you look for and when you find it hammer it, (just asking as I have no real play here, just trying to learn ) This after re-doing and re-doing the race a few times and this 5 keeps showing up as a play, yet a race where he may well go up to over 20-1, as M/L is 10-1, and the 9 should be post time fav around 2-1 or less , and then the 4,8 and 10 are all live contenders to me,

Ted Craven 07-22-2009 07:57 PM

2 Attachment(s)
I think there's a strong chance that's not a real line for #5 Flashmans. it was a fast pace, but he made only a modest move against it, and that's a VERY LATE E/L distribution...

Waiting...

Attachment 17180

Attachment 17181

Ted

Ted Craven 07-22-2009 09:03 PM

Do we hide the favourite and bet the next 2?

Ted Craven 07-22-2009 09:27 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Result

Attachment 17186

pktruckdriver 07-23-2009 11:42 AM

Thursday race 7 delmar contest
 
3 Attachment(s)
looks like a few prices here

5 winner, but most likely the fav, so hide

6 and 13 look to be value win bets, # 1 as back up for any scratches

Capcondo 07-23-2009 07:16 PM

7/23 del Mar 7th - Marathon
 
2 Attachment(s)
Here is one of the marathon races where I'm looking for the leader at the 1 mile mark. For an 11 furlong on the grass, this race is loaded with early horses. Here are the lines from RDSS:

Attachment 17197

Now to BL/BL:

Attachment 17198

The 8 has the right running style. That's my choice.

Tim Bedient

Bill V. 07-23-2009 08:18 PM

Holly Cow
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pktruckdriver (Post 57546)
looks like a few prices here

5 winner, but most likely the fav, so hide

6 and 13 look to be value win bets, # 1 as back up for any scratches

Patrick ... Say you bet the 6 !!!:)


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