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Bob Cochran 08-23-2009 08:18 PM

Personal Wagering Strategy
 
This is my personal wagering strategy. It allows me to avoid playing too many races; It gives more free time to other activities, and my dogs. This is having
my cake, and eating it too.

In the past, my preferred wagers were win/place, exactas, and p4's. Since i
like to cherry pick from 3 or more tracks to find good wagers, I decided to
create the wagering plan CORA.

The acronym CORA means "Crush One Race A day". You may wager in dollar increments, or whatever level your bankroll will allow. Personally, i like $10
win/place bets, $1 tri part-wheels, $1 supers and $10 exacta keybox wagers.

The amount to wager is a personal issue. you decide!

The only type races i will use for wagering are races with a "lone early" or a
"lone ote" . The key horse's post time odds has to be 3-1 or higher. If this
condition doesn't exist, I don't wager . There are always races tomorrow.

I use the key in key-box exactas, 1st and 2nd in trifectas and supers.

As an example check the 7th race at Calder 08-23-09.

The #6 was "lone early". #2 and #8 were scratched. This left #'s 1-3-4-5-6-7-9. #3 and #5 are throwouts based on current races.
We are left with #'s 1-4-6-7-9. #6 is the lone early key.

The crush would be assembled in this manner. $2 win/place #6
$2 exacta key-box #6 w 1-4-7-9 = $16
$1 tri key #6 w 1-4-7-9 with 1-4-7-9 = $12
$1 tri key 1-4-7-9 with #6 with 1-4-7-9 = $12
$1 super #6 with 1-4-7-9 with 1-4-7-9 with 1-4-7-9 = $24
$1 super 1-4-7-9 with #6 with 1-4-7=9 with 1-4-7-9 = $24

this an example of the plan.

bob cochran :)

tfm 08-23-2009 09:22 PM

I just CRUSHED a race today. I had a win bet on a $28 horse and I hit the exacta, $230, with a 2 horse box. So,that would be > 55:1 on the exacta.
A few weeks ago, I also CRUSHED a 2 number $150 exacta. That would be
> 35:1. These are examples of CRUSHES. To CRUSH means you actually have an OPINION on a race and you bet your balls. The lesser the number of combos, the stronger the opinion, and the MORE you can bet.

Playing 20 combos or so is indicative of not having an opinion and having to settle for a 3:1 return sort of bears that out. I don't take 3:1 on a win bet. And if I did, even though it'd show that at least I had an opinion and the balls to bet a single horse, I certainly wouldn't consider it a crush.

Just trying to get clear on terminology here.:rolleyes:

Tim Y 08-23-2009 11:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tfm (Post 59148)
I just CRUSHED a race today. I had a win bet on a $28 horse and I hit the exacta, $230, with a 2 horse box. So,that would be > 55:1 on the exacta.
A few weeks ago, I also CRUSHED a 2 number $150 exacta. That would be
> 35:1. These are examples of CRUSHES. To CRUSH means you actually have an OPINION on a race and you bet your balls. The lesser the number of combos, the stronger the opinion, and the MORE you can bet.

Playing 20 combos or so is indicative of not having an opinion and having to settle for a 3:1 return sort of bears that out. I

Of course it is. It represents a clear picture of sensitive dependence upon initial conditions, the ESSENCE of what the majority of all races are: VARIABLE contingencies that the wise investor compares to the probabilities offered and COVERS them adequately.

To look at a race, ANY RACE, as having a SINGLE outcome is the illogical thing to do. The reason odds vary, and the way one plays them is what this game is ALL ABOUT.

Bob Cochran 08-23-2009 11:28 PM

Tfm
 
Apparently you missed the point of the post. The point was not how much money was made, but the manner it was accomplished. You didn't mention any
trifecta or superfecta wagers. The point was to take advantage of all wagers
provided by the race.

A crush to a $2 bettor would be different than a crush made by a $100 bettor.

good luck ,
Bob Cochran :)

Tim Y 08-24-2009 12:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bob Cochran (Post 59154)
Apparently you missed the point of the post. The point was not how much money was made, but the manner it was accomplished. You didn't mention any
trifecta or superfecta wagers. The point was to take advantage of all wagers
provided by the race.


no I didn't miss anything: extract as much as you can as many ways as you can out of the races you understand

Tim Y 08-24-2009 12:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tim Y (Post 59155)
no I didn't miss anything: extract as much as you can as many ways as you can out of the races you understand

Sorry as I agreed with you now TWICE.........Misread a few word: old glasses

Bob Cochran 08-24-2009 03:52 AM

TimY
 
No problem Tim Y. My reply was directed to tfm.

Oh well, i guess CORA might be too complicated for "big hitters"

Bob Cochran :)

alydar_ David 08-24-2009 05:22 PM

Bob,

Thanks for sharing your wagering strategy.

:>)

Vinnie 08-24-2009 08:58 PM

Bob, I must echo David in saying thank you very much for sharing your wagering strategy. I can appreciate your approach.

All the BEST!

Vinnie :)

For The Lead 08-24-2009 10:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bob Cochran (Post 59147)
This is my personal wagering strategy. It allows me to avoid playing too many races; It gives more free time to other activities, and my dogs. This is having
my cake, and eating it too.

In the past, my preferred wagers were win/place, exactas, and p4's. Since i
like to cherry pick from 3 or more tracks to find good wagers, I decided to
create the wagering plan CORA.

The acronym CORA means "Crush One Race A day". You may wager in dollar increments, or whatever level your bankroll will allow. Personally, i like $10
win/place bets, $1 tri part-wheels, $1 supers and $10 exacta keybox wagers.

The amount to wager is a personal issue. you decide!

The only type races i will use for wagering are races with a "lone early" or a
"lone ote" . The key horse's post time odds has to be 3-1 or higher. If this
condition doesn't exist, I don't wager . There are always races tomorrow.

I use the key in key-box exactas, 1st and 2nd in trifectas and supers.

As an example check the 7th race at Calder 08-23-09.

The #6 was "lone early". #2 and #8 were scratched. This left #'s 1-3-4-5-6-7-9. #3 and #5 are throwouts based on current races.
We are left with #'s 1-4-6-7-9. #6 is the lone early key.

The crush would be assembled in this manner. $2 win/place #6
$2 exacta key-box #6 w 1-4-7-9 = $16
$1 tri key #6 w 1-4-7-9 with 1-4-7-9 = $12
$1 tri key 1-4-7-9 with #6 with 1-4-7-9 = $12
$1 super #6 with 1-4-7-9 with 1-4-7-9 with 1-4-7-9 = $24
$1 super 1-4-7-9 with #6 with 1-4-7=9 with 1-4-7-9 = $24

this an example of the plan.

bob cochran :)

Bob,
Do your records indicate that your success comes more from:
1 - early
2 - ote
3 - evenly split


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