Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)
-   Races of Interest (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=76)
-   -   Cardinal Handicap (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=6323)

alydar_ David 11-21-2009 10:12 AM
Cardinal Handicap
 
Churchill Downs
Saturday, Nov. 21, 2009
Turf Course: FIRM (Lane 1, on the hedge)

RACE 9 - 36th running of the $100,000-added Cardinal Handicap (Grade III)

NO CHANGES

http://www.brisnet.com/Promo/Free_PPs/brd_comp.pdf

alydar_ David 11-21-2009 10:30 AM
PHP Code:
           F1      F2      SC      F3     FT             50.1  115.1  152.5
  Pace    47.2    22.1   111.4    33.4   147.6               2nd Call B/L  
  =============================================          ==================
  #7 MY   47.2*   24.2   111.4*   36.2   147.6*          #7 MY         0.00
  #3 AC   48.8    23.2   112.0    37.0   149.0           #4 ZA         1.05
  #9 LE   49.4    24.7   114.1    37.4   151.5           #3 AC         1.27
  #8 LE   49.6    24.5   114.1    36.4   150.5           #5 LO         5.38
  #4 ZA   49.8    22.1*  111.9    38.7   150.6           #8 LE         5.57
  #2 TI   50.1    24.8   114.9    37.0   151.9           #9 LE         5.57
  #5 LO   51.0    23.0   114.0    34.7   148.7           #2 TI         7.14
  #6 SO   51.8    23.3   115.1    33.7   148.8           #6 SO         7.53
  #1 YO   52.5    24.0   116.5    33.4*  149.9           #1 YO        10.21

                                             PACE RATINGS          FAIR    O/L
 NAME    A P    E P    L P        NAME    EPR   LPR   TOT  DIF     ODDS   ODDS
 ==========================       ============================     ===========
 #7 MY  55.27  55.46  55.08       #7 MY   108    96   204  -12     2.5     3.8
 #3 AC  54.63  55.00  54.26       #5 LO    95   104   199    9     4.1     6.2
 #5 LO  54.40  53.51  55.29       #6 SO    90   108   198   18     4.7     7.0
 #6 SO  54.24  52.73  55.74       #3 AC   105    92   197  -13     5.3     8.0
 #4 ZA  54.10  55.08  53.12       #1 YO    83   110   193   27    10.7    16.0
 #8 LE  53.68  53.44  53.92       #4 ZA   106    84   190  -22                
 #1 YO  53.64  51.76  55.52       #8 LE    95    95   190    0                
 #9 LE  53.32  53.44  53.19       #9 LE    95    90   185   -5                
 #2 TI  53.03  52.87  53.19       #2 TI    91    92   183    1   

           A P  E P  L P  F T  1+3  2+3  2FR  L E  SDP   SSR    MED E   R/S 
           ===  ===  ===  ===  ===  ===  ===  ===  ===   ===    =====  =====
 #7 MY      1    1    4    1    1    5    1    4    1    115    66.89    S  
 #3 AC      2    2    5    4    5    4    2    5    4    108    67.47    S  
 #5 LO      3    4    3    2    4    3    3    3    3    109    65.67    S  
 #6 SO      4    8    1    2    2    1    4    1    2    108    64.69    S  
 #4 ZA      5    2    7    6    9    6    5    9    7    100    68.78   S/P 
 #1 YO      6    9    2    5    2    2    7    2    4    103    63.98    S  
 #8 LE      6    4    6    6    5    6    5    6    6    100    66.32    S  
 #9 LE      8    4    7    8    7    9    7    7    8     95    66.88    S  
 #2 TI      9    7    7    9    7    8    9    8    9     93    66.44    S     

           A P  E P  L P  F T  1+3  2+3  2FR  L E  SDP   SSR    MED E   R/S 
           ===  ===  ===  ===  ===  ===  ===  ===  ===   ===    =====  =====
 #6 SO      4    8    1    2    2    1    4    1    1    108    64.69    S  
 #1 YO      6    9    2    5    2    2    7    2    4    103    63.98    S  
 #5 LO      3    4    3    2    4    3    3    3    2    109    65.67    S  
 #7 MY      1    1    4    1    1    5    1    4    2    115    66.89    S  
 #3 AC      2    2    5    4    5    4    2    5    5    108    67.47    S  
 #8 LE      6    4    6    6    5    6    5    6    6    100    66.32    S  
 #2 TI      9    7    7    9    7    8    9    8    9     93    66.44    S  
 #4 ZA      5    2    7    6    9    6    5    9    7    100    68.78   S/P 
 #9 LE      8    4    7    8    7    9    7    7    7     95    66.88    S 

Bill V. 11-21-2009 01:55 PM
Cardnals
 
2 Attachment(s)
Hi David

I will take the best odds on the 2 3 or 4

Bill Lyster 11-21-2009 03:36 PM
Cardinal Picks
 
2 Attachment(s)
I like the 8 to wire this field. The tandem 7 horse couldn't apply enuf pressure last out and faded to lose by four. The 7 has won on front end but wins more often as a presser. The best closer appears to be the 6 and his 141.8 time is about what you get adding 6.4 seconds to his last mile turf race plus beaten lengths, so unless there is a duel that compromises the 8, I think this one fits the 2nd or 3rd slot. Lemon Chiffon the 9 has backed up the last two times against 112 paces, so i didn't use its better line when it closed against 110 and change - I'm thinking CD will be much softer and slower.

If we can get the 8 home on top I think there is a good trifecta available by boxing the other four underneath. Anyway, I am playing an 8 x 6 box with some backup money if the 15:1 odds hold on the 6 and of course the 8 to win.

Good luck today,

mikesal57 11-21-2009 04:31 PM
HI AD ...boxing the 1-3-5

mikesal57 11-21-2009 04:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 61651)
HI AD ...boxing the 1-3-5
nice ...3-1 ex $54.80.............5 came in 4th

mikesal57 11-21-2009 04:45 PM
fyi
 
1 Attachment(s)
race 9

alydar_ David 11-21-2009 07:03 PM
2 Attachment(s)
Way to go, Sal.

Thanks for contributing, Bill & Bill.

I bet #6 and #7 to win.

Bill V. 11-22-2009 08:35 AM
Lines
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:
Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 61653)
race 9
Thanks David Bill and Mike

Nice exacta Mike. way to go I see you use line 7
for the winner # 3 It ranked 5th on you BLBL
any reason you can share why you went to the 7th race

Thanks
Bill


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:13 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.