Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)
-   Matchup Discussion (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=66)
-   -   Penn - Thursday - 6f (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=6535)

RichieP 01-13-2010 11:37 PM

Penn - Thursday - 6f
 
1 Attachment(s)
This is the 3rd race Thursday night going 6f.

RichieP 01-13-2010 11:39 PM

5 Attachment(s)
The field

RichieP 01-13-2010 11:40 PM

5 Attachment(s)
..:)

mikesal57 01-14-2010 10:38 AM

Ok..lets start

proj pace 22.4..45.6 from the #3

1) e/p..needs open lts and wet to win,wont get it...out
1a) p in form , can handle pace in past, but class rise no good...out
2) s....last good vs pace ...in
3) e..pacesetter..in
4) no form last 2...out
5) p..in form...in
6) e/p in form...in
7) p..2nd & 3rd back ok...in
8) followed the 3 last race and faded..out
9) s..needs a 44 pace and wet track wont get either..out

elim also the 3 cause of other early pace

2-5-6-7

2 vs 5....2 -wins faster paced race

2 vs 6 ...6 wins...closer to faster race

6 vs 7...6 wins...same as above

# 6 to win

gl

mike

Bill Lyster 01-14-2010 01:16 PM

Mike:

Analysis looks good. Like the fact that 6 has fought against faster paces successfully in the past.

I would also look a little more closely at L3 for the 7. This horse now looks like it wants to press only where earlier it wired a field. The early gain in line 3 against a 44.8 is encouraging. A 6x7x2 box looks like it picks up some good $


Regards,

Bill L.

Capcondo 01-14-2010 03:42 PM

Thanks for putting this race up Richie.

We're all going down together on this one.

I would love to get the 6:1 morning line on the 6. There isn't much speed in here with the 1 and the 3. The 6 might actually get the lead. He should be able to handle the 22.2 45.4 put up by the 3. Form the second call to the stretch call, it doesn't look like the front runners can stay with the 6 and ths sutained horses aren't fast enough to catch him.

The 6 to win. I'll be watching and probably wagering.

cdax 01-14-2010 04:57 PM

Pretty much down with the same three horses. 2,6,7.

7 to win
2,6,7 ex box

gs to all

PeteC 01-14-2010 05:54 PM

I'll project the pace off the #3's last line...22.2 45.3.

I feel there are two horses in here that stand out early vs that pace. #1A just wired the field vs a slower pace but shows he can win from 1,2, or 7th position at the 1C vs faster paces.

#6 is an early fighter who's done well vs faster paces too. Looking at the Med lines he seems faster than the 1A but I'm not sure how those tracks compare.

Based on the Pen lines:

#1A line 7 21.4 44.3 2-2-1-1
#6 line 8 22.1 44.4 1-1-1-1

Close call. But they stand out to me from the rest of the field.

RichieP 01-14-2010 10:50 PM

The result:

Bill L and Cdax grab the exacta :)

Penn National - Race 3 Chart video replay
# Win Place Show
2 $5.20 $3.40 $2.60
6 . $4.60 $3.20
4 . . $8.60

Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$2.00 Exacta 2-6 $25.40
$0.50 Trifecta 2-6-4 $68.05

I am changing up with my next series of races going forward :)

mikesal57 01-16-2010 10:24 AM

hey..

Going back to this race...

I would like to know with matching horses..

the 2(last line) vs 6(2nd back)......was it correct that I had the 6 winning?

please explain your thoughts

mike


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:40 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.