Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Florida Derby (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=7330)

alydar_ David 04-03-2011 10:43 AM

Florida Derby
 
http://www.brisnet.com/Promo/Free_PPs/brd_comp.pdf

alydar_ David 04-03-2011 01:09 PM

5 Attachment(s)
The Florida Derby

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Attachment 21526

For setup I used the tandem race.
Paclines: last for all.
No manual adjustments.

I don't have a real warm, fuzzy feeling about this race. Can #8 Flashpoint steal this on the front end?

Attachment 21523

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I'm not sure, but if the odds warrant it may be a good bet.

Attachment 21525

gandalf380 04-03-2011 03:45 PM

Florida Derby
 
I like #6 Stay Thirsty.

#6 to win
#6/1,2,8 exacta box.

Ted Craven 04-03-2011 04:36 PM

2 Attachment(s)
I am suspicious of Flashpoint. He is certainly on the improve, and will likely do so again today. But to WIN at 9 furlongs - unknown. Betting on an unproven improvement...? He should be there in exotics though.

I like the class performances of #2 To Honor and Serve and #6 Stay Thirsty.

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Ted

khannamark 04-03-2011 04:58 PM

hi,
I think this race goes to the deep closer,the 7. no bet for me.
my second choice is the 1.

delmarscott2004 04-03-2011 05:56 PM

Gulfstream Park 04.03.11
 
Race # 10

5 ( 2 and 8 )
Hard to separate the 2 and 8 , I use in exotics with the 4

Scott

tom 04-03-2011 06:21 PM

Flashpoint has a big positive and big negative.
He owns two fractions, so the closers are a disadvantage, but he has a weak F3, so the closers will benefit. Hmmmmm. Who said this was easy?


I like FP and Dialed In, who has the next best TT and the big F3 to go with it.
I think Soldat will not fire today, at least not for long.

Nice readouts - I always break out the old DOS programs this time of year.

Bill V. 04-03-2011 06:30 PM

wild stab
 
1 Attachment(s)
FWIW

wild line selection

7 3

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Bill V.
Subway Footlong Bacon chicken ranch. Itaian bread
let. pickles onions green peppers
mustard 2 oatmeal cookies and lemonade

alydar_ David 04-03-2011 11:23 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Nice picking khannamark, Tom and Bill V.

Tom, you're right of course about Flashpoint's weak F3. I had to turn my eyes away from that when I bet him to win and place.

Want to hear something sick? One of the guys in our group, a doctor who doesn't really know anything about horseracing, bet ten bucks on the race and hit for $10,000.

I'm desperately grasping for a moral to this story.

This race sure didn't pan out the way I thought it would. Heck, Shackleford almost took it.

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